Department of Vascular Surgery, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Department of Surgery, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
ANZ J Surg. 2022 Sep;92(9):2312-2317. doi: 10.1111/ans.17907. Epub 2022 Jul 28.
Infective endocarditis (IE) is a morbid condition with high mortality. We investigated predictors of in-hospital mortality and embolic phenomena in a contemporary Australasian cohort.
We identified all patients with IE admitted between January 2017 and 30th April 2020 (40 months). Patient characteristics, risk factors and clinical outcomes were retrospectively collected and analysed.
One hundred and seventy-two consecutive patients (mean age: 56.8 ± 17.9 years, male: 63%, 114/172) were included. Causative organisms were Staphylococcus aureus (44%, 75/172), Enterococcus faecalis (15%, 26/172), Streptococcus mitis (6%, 10/172) and Staphylococcus epidermidis (3%, 6/172). In-hospital mortality was 15% (25/172). Embolic complications were found among 57% (98/172) of patients, the most common being stroke (23%, 40/172), septic pulmonary emboli (17%, 29/172), splenic and/or renal emboli (17%, 26/172) and peripheral limb emboli (15%, 25/172). Sixty (35%, 60/172) patients underwent cardiac surgery. On multivariable analysis, independent predictors of in-hospital mortality were: increased age (odds ratio: 1.064, per year older, P = 0.001), ICU admission independent of cardiac surgery (OR 9.81, P < 0.001), moderate or severe LV impairment (OR 5.19, P = 0.012) and any sign of embolic phenomena to limbs (OR 5.02, P = 0.006). Multivariable predictors of embolic complications were S. aureus bacteraemia (OR 3.22, P = 0.001) and large vegetation >10 mm (OR 3.04, P = 0.002).
We demonstrate predictors of in-hospital mortality and embolic phenomena in our cohort. Though age remains a consistent predictor of mortality, surprisingly, signs of embolic phenomena to the limbs was established as an independent predictor of mortality. The mechanism of this is unclear and warrants further evaluation.
感染性心内膜炎(IE)是一种死亡率较高的疾病。我们调查了在当代澳大拉西亚队列中住院死亡率和栓塞现象的预测因素。
我们确定了 2017 年 1 月至 2020 年 4 月 30 日(40 个月)期间入院的所有 IE 患者。回顾性收集并分析患者特征、危险因素和临床结局。
共纳入 172 例连续患者(平均年龄:56.8 ± 17.9 岁,男性:63%,114/172)。病原体为金黄色葡萄球菌(44%,75/172)、粪肠球菌(15%,26/172)、草绿色链球菌(6%,10/172)和表皮葡萄球菌(3%,6/172)。住院死亡率为 15%(25/172)。57%(98/172)的患者发生栓塞并发症,最常见的是中风(23%,40/172)、感染性肺栓塞(17%,29/172)、脾和/或肾栓塞(17%,26/172)和外周肢体栓塞(15%,25/172)。60 例(35%,60/172)患者接受了心脏手术。多变量分析显示,住院死亡率的独立预测因素为:年龄增加(每增加 1 岁,优势比:1.064,P=0.001)、独立于心脏手术的 ICU 入院(OR 9.81,P<0.001)、中度或重度左心室功能障碍(OR 5.19,P=0.012)和四肢任何栓塞征象(OR 5.02,P=0.006)。栓塞并发症的多变量预测因素为金黄色葡萄球菌菌血症(OR 3.22,P=0.001)和>10mm 大的赘生物(OR 3.04,P=0.002)。
我们在本队列中证明了住院死亡率和栓塞现象的预测因素。尽管年龄仍然是死亡率的一个一致预测因素,但令人惊讶的是,四肢栓塞征象被确定为死亡率的独立预测因素。其机制尚不清楚,需要进一步评估。