Population Health Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, Wales, UK.
Care & Repair Cymru, Cardiff, Wales, UK.
Age Ageing. 2022 Aug 2;51(8). doi: 10.1093/ageing/afac176.
BACKGROUND: falls are common in older people, but associations between falls, dementia and frailty are relatively unknown. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on falls admissions has not been studied. AIM: to investigate the impact of dementia, frailty, deprivation, previous falls and the differences between years for falls resulting in an emergency department (ED) or hospital admission. STUDY DESIGN: longitudinal cross-sectional observational study. SETTING: older people (aged 65+) resident in Wales between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2020. METHODS: we created a binary (yes/no) indicator for a fall resulting in an attendance to an ED, hospital or both, per person, per year. We analysed the outcomes using multilevel logistic and multinomial models. RESULTS: we analysed a total of 5,141,244 person years of data from 781,081 individuals. Fall admission rates were highest in 2012 (4.27%) and lowest in 2020 (4.27%). We found an increased odds ratio (OR [95% confidence interval]) of a fall admission for age (1.05 [1.05, 1.05] per year of age), people with dementia (2.03 [2.00, 2.06]) and people who had a previous fall (2.55 [2.51, 2.60]). Compared with fit individuals, those with frailty had ORs of 1.60 [1.58, 1.62], 2.24 [2.21, 2.28] and 2.94 [2.89, 3.00] for mild, moderate and severe frailty respectively. Reduced odds were observed for males (0.73 [0.73, 0.74]) and less deprived areas; most deprived compared with least OR 0.75 [0.74, 0.76]. CONCLUSIONS: falls prevention should be targeted to those at highest risk, and investigations into the reduction in admissions in 2020 is warranted.
背景:老年人经常跌倒,但跌倒、痴呆和虚弱之间的关联尚不清楚。COVID-19 大流行对跌倒入院的影响尚未研究。
目的:研究痴呆、虚弱、贫困、既往跌倒以及导致急诊科(ED)或住院的跌倒年份之间的差异对跌倒的影响。
研究设计:纵向横断面观察研究。
地点:2010 年 1 月 1 日至 2020 年 12 月 31 日期间居住在威尔士的 65 岁以上老年人。
方法:我们为每个人每年创建了一个导致 ED、医院或两者就诊的跌倒的二进制(是/否)指标。我们使用多水平逻辑和多项模型分析了结果。
结果:我们分析了来自 781,081 人的 5,141,244 人年的数据。跌倒入院率在 2012 年最高(4.27%),在 2020 年最低(4.27%)。我们发现,跌倒入院的优势比(OR [95%置信区间])随着年龄的增长而增加(每年增加 1.05 [1.05, 1.05])、痴呆症患者(2.03 [2.00, 2.06])和既往跌倒患者(2.55 [2.51, 2.60])。与健康个体相比,虚弱的个体轻度、中度和重度虚弱的 OR 分别为 1.60 [1.58, 1.62]、2.24 [2.21, 2.28]和 2.94 [2.89, 3.00]。男性(0.73 [0.73, 0.74])和贫困程度较低的地区观察到的几率降低;与最不贫困地区相比,最贫困地区的 OR 为 0.75 [0.74, 0.76]。
结论:应针对高风险人群进行跌倒预防,并且有必要对 2020 年入院人数减少进行调查。
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