Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of Education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Ministry of Emergency Management and Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of Education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2022 Dec 10;851(Pt 2):157918. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157918. Epub 2022 Aug 7.
Most flash floods in countries around the world occur in poor rural mountainous areas and typically cause more casualties and economic losses due to monitoring challenges and early warning difficulties. In mountainous regions, reservoir projects are a very effective measure for mitigating the risk of flash floods and can also be used for water supplies and irrigation, but there is a lack of research on the comprehensive benefit assessments of reservoirs. In this paper, we simulate the inundation extents of flash floods for the Wangmo Basin in China, where flash floods frequently occur, under different return periods using the HEC-HMS (HEC-Hydrologic Modelling System) model and FLO-2D model and compare the resulting housing losses with and without reservoirs. The results indicate that using dam and reservoir operations for flood control in the Wangmo River Basin decreases the flooded housing area in the county centre by approximately 12.9 %-30.2 %, which results in housing losses reductions of 19.7 %-45.7 %.These dams and reservoirs will begin to make a profit during the 38th year of operation, and the average annual net benefit reaches 101.76 million RMB in 50 years, which is equivalent to 1.43 % of the GDP of Wangmo County; the net benefits of flood control, water supply and irrigation accounted for 0.4 %, 1.0 % and 0.03 %, respectively. Priority should be given to planning and building these water conservation measures to help these poor mountainous areas. The construction of dams and reservoirs can contribute to decreasing losses in poverty and disaster-prone regions. The effectiveness evaluation framework for dams and reservoirs presented in this study can be applied to other mountainous basins for flood control and local development.
世界上大多数山洪暴发都发生在贫穷的农村山区,由于监测挑战和预警困难,通常会造成更多的人员伤亡和经济损失。在山区,水库工程是减轻山洪风险的非常有效的措施,也可用于供水和灌溉,但对水库的综合效益评估研究还很缺乏。本文采用 HEC-HMS(HEC-Hydrologic Modelling System)模型和 FLO-2D 模型,对中国王木河流域进行了不同重现期的山洪模拟,并比较了有水库和无水库条件下的洪灾住房损失。结果表明,利用大坝和水库对王木河流域进行防洪调度,可使县城中心的洪泛区住房面积减少约 12.9%-30.2%,从而使住房损失减少 19.7%-45.7%。这些大坝和水库将在运行第 38 年开始盈利,50 年内平均年净收益达到 1.0176 亿元人民币,相当于王木县 GDP 的 1.43%;防洪、供水和灌溉的净效益分别占 0.4%、1.0%和 0.03%。应优先规划和建设这些节水措施,以帮助这些贫困山区。大坝和水库的建设有助于减少贫困和灾害多发地区的损失。本研究提出的大坝和水库有效性评估框架可应用于其他山区流域的防洪和地方发展。