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绿色资产与传统资产之间的风险关联及其对投资组合的影响。

Risk Connectedness Between Green and Conventional Assets with Portfolio Implications.

作者信息

Naeem Muhammad Abubakr, Karim Sitara, Tiwari Aviral Kumar

机构信息

Accounting and Finance Department, United Arab Emirates University, P.O. Box 15551, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates.

South Ural State University, Lenin Prospect 76, Chelyabinsk, Russian Federation 454080.

出版信息

Comput Econ. 2022 Aug 5:1-29. doi: 10.1007/s10614-022-10296-w.

Abstract

The increasing concerns of investors toward green bonds and their appealing nature of diversification has motivated the current research to study the risk connectedness between green and conventional assets spanning from August 2014 to December 2020. We first estimate the dynamic equi-correlations through DECO-GARCH. Next, we assess the dynamic and static risk connectedness in the median, extreme low, and extreme high quantiles arguing that spillovers vary across different time periods particularly during economically intense time periods. Finally, we analyzed the hedge ratio and hedge effectiveness between green bonds and other assets. We find that equi-correlations are intense during economic shocks such as the Shale oil crisis, Brexit, US interest rate hike, and COVID-19 pandemic. The volatility analysis at average, lower, and upper quantiles also validate time-varying attributes of green and conventional assets. Further, network figures of green and conventional assets identify potential diversification opportunities. Meanwhile, the hedge effectiveness indicates that green bonds are effective hedge for precious metals and cryptocurrencies. Our findings draw multiple implications for policymakers, green investors, financial market participants, and regulatory authorities regarding flight-to-safety during crisis times and maintaining a diverse portfolio to escape potential losses.

摘要

投资者对绿色债券日益增长的关注及其具有吸引力的多元化特性,促使当前的研究对2014年8月至2020年12月期间绿色资产与传统资产之间的风险关联性展开研究。我们首先通过DECO - GARCH估计动态等相关性。接下来,我们评估中位数、极低和极高分位数下的动态和静态风险关联性,认为溢出效应在不同时间段存在差异,尤其是在经济动荡时期。最后,我们分析了绿色债券与其他资产之间的套期保值比率和套期保值有效性。我们发现,在诸如页岩油危机、英国脱欧、美国加息和新冠疫情等经济冲击期间,等相关性较强。平均、较低和较高分位数下的波动性分析也验证了绿色资产和传统资产的时变属性。此外,绿色资产和传统资产的网络图表识别出了潜在的多元化机会。同时,套期保值有效性表明绿色债券对贵金属和加密货币是有效的套期保值工具。我们的研究结果对政策制定者、绿色投资者、金融市场参与者以及监管当局在危机时期的避险行为和维持多元化投资组合以避免潜在损失方面具有多重启示。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8189/9362332/15192cc45ca2/10614_2022_10296_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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