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重新审视 MINT 经济体中的资源诅咒假说。

Re-visiting the resource curse hypothesis in the MINT economies.

机构信息

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science, Department of Economics, Cyprus International University, 99040, Nicosia, Turkey.

Research Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan;30(4):9793-9807. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22785-4. Epub 2022 Sep 5.

Abstract

Natural resources are extremely important to the economy, particularly in emerging nations such as the MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey) nations. To improve their economic performance, such nations put a priority on maximizing the use of natural resources. These natural materials are the basis on which all living creatures rely, and they are the primary motivation behind contemporary production. Therefore, the current research utilizes a dataset spanning the period from 1970 to 2019 to assess the effect of natural resource on economic growth for the MINT nations. The present study uses a unique quantile-on-quantile regression (QQR) approach to assess this interrelationship. Furthermore, we apply the novel quantile causality suggested by Troster (2018), which identifies causality across quantiles. The findings from the QQR reveal that in the majority of the quantiles, the effect of natural resources on economic expansion is positive in Nigeria and Mexico, while it is negative in Indonesia and Turkey. In addition, a feedback causality is found between economic growth and natural resources for Mexico, Indonesia, and Nigeria. Based on the results, it is paramount for policymakers to develop policies or frameworks that promote cleaner energy sources and more effective use of natural resources, which can aid the country's economic growth.

摘要

自然资源对经济极为重要,特别是在墨西哥、印度尼西亚、尼日利亚和土耳其等新兴国家。为了提高经济表现,这些国家优先考虑最大限度地利用自然资源。这些天然材料是所有生物赖以生存的基础,也是当代生产的主要动力。因此,本研究利用 1970 年至 2019 年期间的数据集,评估自然资源对 MINT 国家经济增长的影响。本研究采用独特的分位数分位数回归(QQR)方法来评估这种相互关系。此外,我们应用了 Troster(2018)提出的新分位数因果关系,该关系可以在分位数之间识别因果关系。QQR 的结果表明,在大多数分位数中,自然资源对尼日利亚和墨西哥经济扩张的影响是积极的,而对印度尼西亚和土耳其则是消极的。此外,在墨西哥、印度尼西亚和尼日利亚,经济增长与自然资源之间存在反馈因果关系。基于这些结果,政策制定者制定促进清洁能源和更有效地利用自然资源的政策或框架至关重要,这有助于国家的经济增长。

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