School of Tourism and Cuisine, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225127, China.
China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning, and Center for Industrial Economics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Feb;30(6):14805-14820. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-23135-0. Epub 2022 Sep 26.
By constructing the two evaluation systems of urban tourism development (TD) and habitat environment (HE), the dynamic response relationship between the two systems in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2001 to 2020 is explored by using panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model and coupled coordination degree model. The study unearthed four intriguing findings: (1) the level of TD in the study area has been continuously rising from 2001 to 2020, with an initial slow growth rate and then fast. The level of HE is increasing steadily at an average annual rate of 7.05%. There exists a reciprocal response relationship between the two systems, with a strong shock effect in the short term and a synergistic evolution in the long term. (2) The coupling degree between the urban TD and HE has an increasing trend, and the coupling coordination degree of the two systems has an average annual rate of 4.165%, implying the interaction and promotion effect between the two systems is improving. (3) Most of the cities in the Yangtze River Delta gradually realize the evolution from dysfunctional type to coordinated type, but the overall coordination intensity is low. (4) The barrier degrees of TD system indicators show a small annual increasing trend, while the barrier degrees of HE system indicators show a substantial and continuous decreasing trend. In terms of the barrier degree factors, some important factors that restrict the coupled and coordinated development of the two systems are also reported. This research can provide a useful reference for the synergistic improvement of urban tourism economy and habitat environment.
通过构建城市旅游发展(TD)和人居环境(HE)两个评价体系,利用面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型和耦合协调度模型,探讨了 2001-2020 年长三角城市群两系统的动态响应关系。研究发现了四个有趣的发现:(1)研究区 TD 水平从 2001 年到 2020 年持续上升,初始增长率较慢,然后较快。HE 水平稳步上升,平均年增长率为 7.05%。两系统之间存在着相互响应关系,短期存在较强的冲击效应,长期存在协同演化。(2)城市 TD 和 HE 的耦合度呈上升趋势,两系统的耦合协调度平均每年增长 4.165%,表明两系统之间的相互作用和促进作用在不断提高。(3)长三角大部分城市逐渐实现了从非功能型向协调型的演变,但整体协调强度较低。(4)TD 系统指标的障碍度呈逐年小幅度增长趋势,而 HE 系统指标的障碍度呈实质性、持续下降趋势。在障碍度因素方面,还报告了一些制约两系统耦合协调发展的重要因素。本研究可为协同提升城市旅游经济与人居环境提供有益参考。