Japan Environment and Children's Study Programme Office, Health and Environmental Risk Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan.
Environ Int. 2022 Dec;170:107553. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107553. Epub 2022 Sep 28.
Urinary biomarkers are commonly used in epidemiological studies as surrogates or indicators of exposure to chemical substances. Evaluating the reliability of a biomarker is highly important because use of an unreliable marker may lead to misclassification and attenuation bias, resulting in flawed interpretations and conclusions. Although intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) is regarded as a typical index of test reliability, methods for determining the ICCs of urinary biomarkers have not been standardised, and different methods have been used. This study evaluated different imputation methods for left-censored data, i.e., four imputation or one substitution methods, before calculating ICCs, and at the same time mathematically assessed the impact of the left-censoring proportion on the estimated ICCs. Biomarkers of exposure to organophosphate pesticides, i.e., dialkylphosphates, were used as an example. The Gibbs sampler-based left-censored missing value imputation approach had the best performance for imputation of values below reporting limits, with lower values on Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistics than other imputation/substitution methods, i.e., a univariate distribution fitting approach, multiple imputation by chained equation, a bootstrap expectation-maximisation algorithm approach, and a single value substitution. In all imputation methods, however, ICCs decreased as censoring rates increased. We propose a method to estimate true ICCs based on mathematical estimation.
尿生物标志物通常被用于流行病学研究作为接触化学物质的替代物或指示物。评估生物标志物的可靠性非常重要,因为使用不可靠的标志物可能会导致错误分类和衰减偏差,从而导致有缺陷的解释和结论。尽管组内相关系数 (ICC) 被认为是测试可靠性的典型指标,但尿生物标志物 ICC 确定方法尚未标准化,并且使用了不同的方法。本研究评估了不同的左截断数据插补方法,即在计算 ICC 之前,采用四种插补或一种替代方法,同时从数学上评估了左截断比例对估计 ICC 的影响。以接触有机磷农药(即二烷基磷酸酯)的生物标志物为例。基于 Gibbs 抽样器的左截断缺失值插补方法在插补低于报告限值的数值方面表现最佳,其柯尔莫哥洛夫-斯米尔诺夫检验统计量值低于其他插补/替代方法,即单变量分布拟合方法、链式方程多重插补、自举期望最大化算法方法和单个值替代。然而,在所有插补方法中,随着截尾率的增加,ICC 都有所下降。我们提出了一种基于数学估计的估计真实 ICC 的方法。