Princess Máxima Center for Pediatric Oncology, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Department of Anesthesiology, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital/University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Pediatr Blood Cancer. 2023 Jan;70(1):e30036. doi: 10.1002/pbc.30036. Epub 2022 Oct 31.
Hospitalized pediatric oncology patients are at risk of severe clinical deterioration. Yet Pediatric Early Warning System (PEWS) scores have not been prospectively validated in these patients. We aimed to determine the predictive performance of the modified BedsidePEWS score for unplanned pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) in this patient population.
We performed a prospective cohort study in an 80-bed pediatric oncology hospital in the Netherlands, where care has been nationally centralized. All hospitalized pediatric oncology patients aged 0-18 years were eligible for inclusion. A Cox proportional hazard model was estimated to study the association between BedsidePEWS score and unplanned PICU admissions or CPR. The predictive performance of the model was internally validated by bootstrapping.
A total of 1137 patients were included. During the study, 103 patients experienced 127 unplanned PICU admissions and three CPRs. The hazard ratio for unplanned PICU admission or CPR was 1.65 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.59-1.72) for each point increase in the modified BedsidePEWS score. The discriminative ability was moderate (D-index close to 0 and a C-index of 0.83 [95% CI: 0.79-0.90]). Positive and negative predictive values of modified BedsidePEWS score at the widely used cutoff of 8, at which escalation of care is required, were 1.4% and 99.9%, respectively.
The modified BedsidePEWS score is significantly associated with requirement of PICU transfer or CPR. In pediatric oncology patients, this PEWS score may aid in clinical decision-making for timing of PICU transfer.
住院儿科肿瘤患者有发生严重临床恶化的风险。然而,儿科早期预警系统(PEWS)评分尚未在这些患者中进行前瞻性验证。我们旨在确定改良床边 PEWS 评分对该患者人群中计划外儿科重症监护病房(PICU)入院和心肺复苏(CPR)的预测性能。
我们在荷兰的一家 80 张床位的儿科肿瘤医院进行了一项前瞻性队列研究,该医院的护理已在全国范围内集中。所有年龄在 0-18 岁的住院儿科肿瘤患者均有资格入组。使用 Cox 比例风险模型来研究床边 PEWS 评分与计划外 PICU 入院或 CPR 之间的关联。通过自举法对内部分类性能进行验证。
共纳入 1137 例患者。在研究期间,103 例患者经历了 127 次计划外 PICU 入院和 3 次 CPR。改良床边 PEWS 评分每增加 1 分,计划外 PICU 入院或 CPR 的风险比为 1.65(95%置信区间 [CI]:1.59-1.72)。区分能力为中度(D-指数接近 0,C-指数为 0.83 [95%CI:0.79-0.90])。改良床边 PEWS 评分在广泛使用的 8 分截点(需要升级护理的截点)的阳性和阴性预测值分别为 1.4%和 99.9%。
改良床边 PEWS 评分与 PICU 转移或 CPR 的需求显著相关。在儿科肿瘤患者中,该 PEWS 评分可能有助于临床决策,确定 PICU 转移的时机。