Poulsen Aslak Harbo, Hvidtfeldt Ulla Arthur, Sørensen Mette, Pedersen Julie Elbæk, Ketzel Matthias, Brandt Jørgen, Geels Camilla, Christensen Jesper H, Raaschou-Nielsen Ole
Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Environ Res. 2023 Jan 1;216(Pt 3):114740. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.114740. Epub 2022 Nov 7.
Air pollution with particulate matter is an established lung carcinogen. Studies have suggested an association with breast cancer, but the evidence is inconsistent.
From nationwide registers, we identified all breast cancer cases (n = 55 745) in Denmark between 2000 and 2014. We matched one control for each case on age and year of birth. We used a multi-scale dispersion model to estimate outdoor concentrations of particulate matter <2.5 μm (PM), elemental carbon (EC) and nitrogen dioxide (NO) as time-weighted average over all addresses up to 20 years prior to diagnosis. We calculated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) by conditional logistic regression with adjustment for marital status, educational level, occupational status, personal income, region of origin, medication and area-level socio-economic indicators.
A 10 μg/m higher PM was associated with an OR for breast cancer of 1.21 (95% CI: 1.11-1.33). The corresponding ORs for EC (per 1 μg/m) and NO (per 10 μg/m) were 1.03 (95% CI: 1.00-1.07) and 1.03 (95% CI: 1.01-1.06), respectively. In multi-pollutant models, the OR for PM changed only little, whereas ORs for EC or NO approached the null. In an analysis of persons below 55 years, PM was associated with an OR of 1.32 (95% CI: 1.09-1.60) per 10 μg/m increase.
We found evidence of an association between the investigated air pollutants and breast cancer, especially PM. There were indications that the association differed by age at diagnosis. We were not able to include all potential confounders and thus, results should be interpreted with caution.
颗粒物空气污染是一种已确定的肺癌致癌物。研究表明其与乳腺癌有关联,但证据并不一致。
我们从全国登记处识别出2000年至2014年间丹麦的所有乳腺癌病例(n = 55745)。我们为每个病例匹配一名年龄和出生年份相同的对照。我们使用多尺度扩散模型来估计在诊断前长达20年的所有住址的室外小于2.5微米颗粒物(PM)、元素碳(EC)和二氧化氮(NO)的时间加权平均浓度。我们通过条件逻辑回归计算优势比(OR)和95%置信区间(CI),并对婚姻状况、教育水平、职业状况、个人收入、原籍地区、用药情况和地区层面的社会经济指标进行调整。
PM每升高10微克/立方米,乳腺癌的OR为1.21(95%CI:1.11 - 1.33)。EC(每1微克/立方米)和NO(每10微克/立方米)的相应OR分别为1.03(95%CI:1.00 - 1.07)和1.03(95%CI:1.01 - 1.06)。在多污染物模型中,PM的OR变化很小,而EC或NO的OR接近零。在对55岁以下人群的分析中,PM每增加10微克/立方米,OR为1.32(95%CI:1.09 - 1.60)。
我们发现所研究的空气污染物与乳腺癌之间存在关联的证据,尤其是PM。有迹象表明这种关联在诊断时的年龄上存在差异。我们未能纳入所有潜在的混杂因素,因此,结果应谨慎解释。