Hurtado Ivan, Bonacina Erika, Garcia-Manau Pablo, Serrano Berta, Armengol-Alsina Mireia, Mendoza Manel, Maiz Nerea, Carreras Elena
Department of Obstetrics, Maternal Fetal Medicine Unit, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Passeig de La Vall d'Hebron, 119-129, 08035, Barcelona, Spain.
Arch Gynecol Obstet. 2023 Nov;308(5):1485-1495. doi: 10.1007/s00404-022-06833-5. Epub 2022 Nov 19.
To create a predictive model including biomarkers and evaluate its ability to predict adverse perinatal outcomes in late-onset small fetuses, ultimately helping to provide individualized counseling at the time of diagnosis.
This was a prospective observational study, including singleton pregnancies with an estimated fetal weight (EFW) below the 10th percentile, at a gestational age between 32 + 0 and 36 + 6 weeks of gestation (WG). Variables recorded at diagnosis to predict adverse pregnancy outcomes were: soluble fms-like tyrosine-kinase-1 to placental growth factor ratio (sFlt-1/PlGF), fetal Doppler (umbilical artery and middle cerebral artery), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtAPI), EFW percentile, gestational age, and the presence of maternal risk factors for placental insufficiency. Logistic regression models were developed for the prediction of three co-primary outcomes: composite adverse perinatal outcomes (APO), and the need for elective delivery before 35 or 37 WG.
Sixty (52.2%) fetal growth restricted (FGR) and 55 (47.8%) small for gestational age (SGA) were enrolled. Thirteen (11.3%) women needed elective delivery before 35 WG and 27 (23.5%) women before 37 WG. At least one APO occurred in 43 (37.4%) pregnancies. The best marker in univariate analyses was the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio [AUC = 0.932 (95% CI, 0.864-0.999)]. The multivariate model including sFlt-1/PlGF showed a better predictive performance for APO than the multivariate model without sFlt-1/PlGF (P < 0.024).
sFlt-1/PlGF is a good predictor of APO at the time of late-onset FGR/SGA diagnosis. Our predictive models may be useful to provide early individualized prenatal counseling in this group of women. Further studies are needed to validate these preliminary findings in a larger cohort.
创建一个包含生物标志物的预测模型,并评估其预测晚期小胎儿围产期不良结局的能力,最终有助于在诊断时提供个性化咨询。
这是一项前瞻性观察性研究,纳入单胎妊娠,估计胎儿体重(EFW)低于第10百分位数,孕周在32 + 0至36 + 6周之间。诊断时记录的用于预测不良妊娠结局的变量包括:可溶性fms样酪氨酸激酶-1与胎盘生长因子的比值(sFlt-1/PlGF)、胎儿多普勒(脐动脉和大脑中动脉)、子宫动脉搏动指数(UtAPI)、EFW百分位数、孕周以及存在胎盘功能不全的母体危险因素。建立逻辑回归模型以预测三个共同主要结局:复合围产期不良结局(APO)以及在35或37孕周前进行择期分娩的必要性。
纳入60例(52.2%)胎儿生长受限(FGR)和55例(47.8%)小于胎龄儿(SGA)。13例(11.3%)妇女在35孕周前需要择期分娩,27例(23.5%)妇女在37孕周前需要择期分娩。43例(37.4%)妊娠发生了至少一种APO。单因素分析中最佳标志物是sFlt-1/PlGF比值[AUC = 0.932(95%CI,0.864 - 0.999)]。包含sFlt-1/PlGF的多变量模型对APO的预测性能优于不包含sFlt-1/PlGF的多变量模型(P < 0.024)。
sFlt-1/PlGF是晚期FGR/SGA诊断时APO的良好预测指标。我们的预测模型可能有助于为这组妇女提供早期个性化产前咨询。需要进一步研究以在更大队列中验证这些初步发现。