Emerg Infect Dis. 2022 Dec;28(13):S217-S224. doi: 10.3201/eid2813.212300.
The World Health Organization-designated Western Pacific Region (WPR) and African Region (AFR) have the highest number of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections worldwide. The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted childhood immunization, threatening progress toward elimination of hepatitis B by 2030. We used a published mathematical model to estimate the number of expected and excess HBV infections and related deaths after 10% and 20% decreases in hepatitis B birth dose or third-dose hepatitis B vaccination coverage of children born in 2020 compared with prepandemic 2019 levels. Decreased vaccination coverage resulted in additional chronic HBV infections that were 36,342-395,594 in the WPR and 9,793-502,047 in the AFR; excess HBV-related deaths were 7,150-80,302 in the WPR and 1,177-67,727 in the AFR. These findings support the urgent need to sustain immunization services, implement catch-up vaccinations, and mitigate disruptions in hepatitis B vaccinations in future birth cohorts.
世界卫生组织指定的西太平洋区域(WPR)和非洲区域(AFR)拥有全球数量最多的慢性乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)感染。COVID-19 大流行扰乱了儿童免疫接种,威胁到 2030 年消除乙型肝炎的目标。我们使用已发表的数学模型来估计与 2019 年大流行前水平相比,2020 年出生的儿童乙型肝炎基础剂量或第三剂乙型肝炎疫苗接种覆盖率降低 10%和 20%后,预计和超额乙型肝炎病毒感染和相关死亡人数。疫苗接种覆盖率下降导致额外的慢性 HBV 感染,在 WPR 为 36342-395594 例,在 AFR 为 9793-502047 例;超额 HBV 相关死亡人数在 WPR 为 7150-80302 例,在 AFR 为 1177-67727 例。这些发现支持迫切需要维持免疫服务,实施补种疫苗,并减轻未来出生队列中乙型肝炎疫苗接种的中断。