Chen Shuning, Gao Shenghui, Li Jingxin, Li Jingsong, Duan Zhao-Jun
NHC Key Laboratory of Medical Virology and Viral Diseases, National Institute for Viral Diseases Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100052, China; Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY 10032, USA.
NHC Key Laboratory of Medical Virology and Viral Diseases, National Institute for Viral Diseases Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100052, China; Gansu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine School of Public Health, Lanzhou 730000, China.
Vaccine. 2023 Jan 9;41(2):547-554. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.11.074. Epub 2022 Dec 8.
Globally, rotavirus is a leading cause of severe acute gastroenteritis among children aged under 5 years and has a significant economic cost. Currently, rotavirus vaccines are only included in the private market in China. This study aimed to assess the cost-benefit of including a three-dose rotavirus vaccine in China's National Immunization Program (NIP).
A decision tree Markov model was constructed to evaluate the cost-benefit of universal immunization with three doses of rotavirus vaccine for a 2019 birth cohort of Chinese children. Costs of the universal vaccination program included vaccine price, vaccine wastage, vaccine administration, and indirect costs. All costs were discounted at 3 % per year and converted from 2019 Chinese Yuan to 2019 USD using the 2019 exchange rate.
For the 2019 birth cohort of Chinese infants, inclusion of RotaTeq in NIP was estimated to prevent 5,677,911 cases of rotavirus infection, with net savings of $1.1 billion in total societal costs. A cost of $17.55 per vaccine dose was the threshold at which inclusion of rotavirus vaccine in NIP would be cost-saving.
Introducing rotavirus vaccine into the China NIP would have significant costs from a societal perspective at the current private market price.
在全球范围内,轮状病毒是5岁以下儿童严重急性胃肠炎的主要病因,且造成巨大经济损失。目前,轮状病毒疫苗仅在中国的私人市场有售。本研究旨在评估将三剂次轮状病毒疫苗纳入中国国家免疫规划(NIP)的成本效益。
构建决策树马尔可夫模型,以评估对2019年出生的中国儿童队列普遍接种三剂次轮状病毒疫苗的成本效益。普遍接种疫苗计划的成本包括疫苗价格、疫苗损耗、疫苗接种以及间接成本。所有成本均按每年3%进行贴现,并使用2019年汇率从2019年人民币换算为2019年美元。
对于2019年出生的中国婴儿队列,估计将罗特韦拉(RotaTeq)疫苗纳入国家免疫规划可预防5,677,911例轮状病毒感染,社会总成本净节省11亿美元。每剂疫苗17.55美元的成本是将轮状病毒疫苗纳入国家免疫规划实现成本节约的阈值。
以当前私人市场价格来看,从社会角度出发,将轮状病毒疫苗引入中国国家免疫规划会产生巨大成本。