Antwi Samuel O, Craver Emily C, Nartey Yvonne A, Sartorius Kurt, Patel Tushar
Division of Epidemiology, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USA.
Division of Clinical Trials and Biostatistics, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USA.
Cancers (Basel). 2022 Dec 17;14(24):6234. doi: 10.3390/cancers14246234.
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a fast-growing public health problem and predisposes to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a significant proportion of patients. Metabolic alterations might underlie the progression of NAFLD to HCC, but the magnitudes of risk and population-attributable risk fractions (PAFs) for various metabolic conditions that are associated with HCC risk in patients with NAFLD are unknown. We investigated the associations between metabolic conditions and HCC development in individuals with a prior history of NAFLD. The study included 11,245 participants in the SEER-Medicare database, comprising 1310 NAFLD-related HCC cases and 9835 NAFLD controls. We excluded individuals with competing liver diseases (e.g., alcoholic liver disease and chronic viral hepatitis). Baseline pre-existing diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, obesity, hypertension, hypothyroidism, and metabolic syndrome were assessed. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). PAFs were also calculated for each metabolic condition. The results show that diabetes (OR = 2.39, 95% CI: 2.04-2.79), metabolic syndrome (OR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.49-2.01), and obesity (OR = 1.62, 95% CI: 1.43-1.85) were associated with a higher HCC risk in individuals with NAFLD. The highest PAF for HCC was observed for pre-existing diabetes (42.1%, 95% CI: 35.7-48.5), followed by metabolic syndrome (28.8%, 95% CI: 21.7-35.9) and obesity (13.2%, 95% CI: 9.6-16.8). The major predisposing factors for HCC in individuals with NAFLD are diabetes mellitus, metabolic syndrome, and obesity, and their control would be critically important in mitigating the rising incidence of NAFLD-related HCC.
非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)是一个迅速增长的公共卫生问题,在相当一部分患者中易引发肝细胞癌(HCC)。代谢改变可能是NAFLD进展为HCC的基础,但与NAFLD患者HCC风险相关的各种代谢状况的风险程度和人群归因风险分数(PAF)尚不清楚。我们调查了有NAFLD病史个体的代谢状况与HCC发生之间的关联。该研究纳入了SEER - 医疗保险数据库中的11245名参与者,包括1310例与NAFLD相关的HCC病例和9835例NAFLD对照。我们排除了患有其他竞争性肝病(如酒精性肝病和慢性病毒性肝炎)的个体。评估了基线时已存在的糖尿病、血脂异常、肥胖、高血压、甲状腺功能减退和代谢综合征。采用多变量调整逻辑回归计算比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(CI)。还计算了每种代谢状况的PAF。结果显示,糖尿病(OR = 2.39,95% CI:2.04 - 2.79)、代谢综合征(OR = 1.73,95% CI:1.49 - 2.01)和肥胖(OR = 1.62,95% CI:1.43 - 1.85)与NAFLD个体的HCC风险较高相关。HCC的最高PAF见于已存在的糖尿病(42.1%,95% CI:35.7 - 48.5),其次是代谢综合征(28.8%,95% CI:21.7 - 35.9)和肥胖(13.2%,95% CI:9.6 - 16.8)。NAFLD个体发生HCC的主要危险因素是糖尿病、代谢综合征和肥胖,对它们的控制对于减轻NAFLD相关HCC发病率的上升至关重要。