Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Center of Gastrointestinal Cancer, Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute, Beijing, China.
BMC Cancer. 2023 Jan 16;23(1):53. doi: 10.1186/s12885-023-10516-y.
The role of preoperative serum tumor markers in HAS patients was vague, we designed the study to explore the effect of preoperative serum tumor markers on predicting the prognosis of HAS patients.
A total of 139 patients were included according to the different tumor makers. X-tile tool was employed to identify the optimal cut-off values of respective tumor makers. Multivariate analyses were conducted to determine independent risk factors.
The optimal cut-off value of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for 3-years overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was 516 ng/mL. Patients with high-level AFP values assumed significantly worse OS and RFS than those with low-level AFP values (P = 0.028 and P = 0.011, respectively). The optimal cut-off value of Carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 for OS and RFS was 51.3 U/mL. And the survival results were similar with AFP in the aspects of OS and RFS (P = 0.009 and P < 0.001, respectively). Multivariate analyses showed that high serum AFP was an independent risk factor for OS and RFS of HAS patients (HR7.264; 95% CI 1.328-39.738; P = 0.022 and HR 2.688; 95% CI 0.922-7.836; P = 0.070, respectively). CA19-9 could perform as a fair substitute to predict the HAS patients' OS and RFS when the preoperative serum AFP was unavailable (HR 7.816; 95% CI 2.084-29.308; P = 0.002 and HR 4.386; 95% CI 1.824-10.547; P = 0.001, respectively). Other tumor markers didn't present significant influences.
Applying preoperative serum AFP level to predict the HAS patients' prognosis is feasible and preoperative serum high-AFP is an independent risk factor for OS and RFS of HAS patients. Preoperative serum CA19-9 could be an alternative choice when AFP was absent.
术前血清肿瘤标志物在 HAS 患者中的作用尚不明确,因此我们设计了这项研究,旨在探讨术前血清肿瘤标志物对预测 HAS 患者预后的影响。
根据不同的肿瘤标志物,共纳入 139 例患者。采用 X-tile 工具确定各肿瘤标志物的最佳截断值。进行多变量分析以确定独立的危险因素。
术前血清甲胎蛋白(AFP)预测 3 年总生存期(OS)和无复发生存期(RFS)的最佳截断值为 516ng/mL。高水平 AFP 患者的 OS 和 RFS 明显差于低水平 AFP 患者(P=0.028 和 P=0.011)。术前血清 CA19-9 预测 OS 和 RFS 的最佳截断值为 51.3U/mL。OS 和 RFS 方面的生存结果与 AFP 相似(P=0.009 和 P<0.001)。多变量分析表明,高血清 AFP 是 HAS 患者 OS 和 RFS 的独立危险因素(HR7.264;95%CI 1.328-39.738;P=0.022 和 HR2.688;95%CI 0.922-7.836;P=0.070)。当术前血清 AFP 不可用时,CA19-9 可作为预测 HAS 患者 OS 和 RFS 的良好替代指标(HR7.816;95%CI 2.084-29.308;P=0.002 和 HR4.386;95%CI 1.824-10.547;P=0.001)。其他肿瘤标志物没有显著影响。
应用术前血清 AFP 水平预测 HAS 患者的预后是可行的,术前高 AFP 是 HAS 患者 OS 和 RFS 的独立危险因素。当 AFP 不存在时,术前血清 CA19-9 可以作为替代选择。