Pelikh Alina, Mikolai Júlia, Kulu Hill
Centre for Longitudinal Studies, IOE UCL's Faculty of Education and Society, University College London, 55-59 Gordon Square, London WCH1 0NU, UK.
University of St Andrews and ESRC Centre for Population Change, Irvine Building, North Street, St Andrews KY16 9AL, UK.
Adv Life Course Res. 2022 Jun;52:100475. doi: 10.1016/j.alcr.2022.100475. Epub 2022 Apr 1.
This study investigates partnership transitions of young adults born between 1974 and 1990 in England and Wales. These cohorts were affected by the expansion of higher education, increasing gender equality, and ideational changes, but faced increased economic precarity caused by the economic and housing crisis. Given these changes, it is likely that the partnership experiences of young adults including marriage, cohabitation, separation, and repartnering have also undergone considerable changes. We apply competing risks event history analysis to combined data from the British Household Panel Survey and the UK Household Longitudinal Study to determine how birth cohort, gender, socio-economic background, and educational attainment influence partnership changes. We study the transition into and out of first cohabitation and marriage and repartnering between age 16 and 27. Cohabitation has become a universal form of first union among young adults born in the late 1970s and 1980s regardless of their socio-economic background or educational level, but their first unions do not last long. While cohabiters are equally likely to marry or separate in the oldest cohort (1974-1979), cohabiting unions are very likely to end in separation among the two youngest cohorts (1980-1984 and 1985-1990). Consequently, repartnering has become common; those in the youngest cohort repartner rather quickly suggesting that an increasing number of individuals experience multiple partnerships. Highly educated young adults have higher rates of entry into first cohabitation than their lower educated counterparts across all cohorts. However, we do not find differences in cohabitation outcomes by socio-economic background and educational level indicating that the main changes have taken place across birth cohorts. The results also suggest that there is a convergence in partnership experiences among young men and women. The increased prevalence of sliding into and out of cohabitation could indicate significant changes in the meaning young people attach to first partnerships.
本研究调查了1974年至1990年在英格兰和威尔士出生的年轻人的伴侣关系转变情况。这些人群受到高等教育扩张、性别平等加剧和观念变化的影响,但也面临着经济和住房危机导致的经济不稳定加剧的问题。鉴于这些变化,年轻人的伴侣关系经历,包括结婚、同居、分居和再婚,很可能也发生了相当大的变化。我们运用竞争风险事件史分析方法,对英国家庭追踪调查和英国家庭纵向研究的合并数据进行分析,以确定出生队列、性别、社会经济背景和教育程度如何影响伴侣关系的变化。我们研究了16岁至27岁之间首次同居、结婚以及再婚的转变情况。同居已成为20世纪70年代末和80年代出生的年轻人中普遍的首次结合形式,无论其社会经济背景或教育水平如何,但他们的首次结合持续时间不长。在最年长的队列(1974 - 1979年)中,同居者结婚或分居的可能性相同,但在两个最年轻的队列(1980 - 1984年和1985 - 1990年)中,同居关系很可能以分居告终。因此,再婚变得很普遍;最年轻队列中的人再婚相当迅速,这表明越来越多的人经历多次伴侣关系。在所有队列中,受过高等教育的年轻人首次同居的比例高于受教育程度较低的同龄人。然而,我们没有发现同居结果在社会经济背景和教育水平方面存在差异,这表明主要变化发生在不同的出生队列之间。研究结果还表明,年轻男性和女性在伴侣关系经历上存在趋同。同居关系的频繁变动可能表明年轻人对首次伴侣关系的认知发生了重大变化。