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2016-2018 年南非农村和城市社区百日咳博德特氏菌感染的发病率和传播动力学。

Incidence and Transmission Dynamics of Bordetella pertussis Infection in Rural and Urban Communities, South Africa, 2016‒2018.

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2023 Feb;29(2):294-303. doi: 10.3201/eid2902.221125.

Abstract

We conducted 3 prospective cohort studies (2016-2018), enrolling persons from 2 communities in South Africa. Nasopharyngeal swab specimens were collected twice a week from participants. Factors associated with Bordetella pertussis incidence, episode duration, and household transmission were determined by using Poisson regression, Weibull accelerated time-failure, and logistic regression hierarchical models, respectively. Among 1,684 participants, 118 episodes of infection were detected in 107 participants (incidence 0.21, 95% CI 0.17-0.25 infections/100 person-weeks). Children <5 years of age who had incomplete vaccination were more likely to have pertussis infection. Episode duration was longer for participants who had higher bacterial loads. Transmission was more likely to occur from male index case-patients and persons who had >7 days infection duration. In both communities, there was high incidence of B. pertussis infection and most cases were colonized.

摘要

我们进行了 3 项前瞻性队列研究(2016-2018 年),招募了南非 2 个社区的人员。每周从参与者中收集两次鼻咽拭子标本。使用泊松回归、威布尔加速时间失效和逻辑回归层次模型分别确定与百日咳博德特氏菌发病率、发作持续时间和家庭传播相关的因素。在 1684 名参与者中,107 名参与者中检测到 118 例感染(发病率为 0.21,95%CI 0.17-0.25 感染/100 人周)。未完成疫苗接种的<5 岁儿童更有可能患百日咳。细菌载量较高的参与者的发病持续时间更长。传播更有可能发生在男性指数病例患者和感染持续时间>7 天的人身上。在这两个社区,百日咳博德特氏菌感染的发病率都很高,大多数病例都有定植。

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