Endocrinology and Nutrition Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, Madrid, Spain.
Instituto de Investigación Biomédica Ramón y Cajal (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain.
Neuroendocrinology. 2023;113(6):657-666. doi: 10.1159/000529319. Epub 2023 Jan 24.
It is estimated that 30-40% of patients with apparently sporadic pheochromocytomas (PHEOs) have an inherited predisposition syndrome. The aim of our study was to develop a predictive model of hereditary PHEO based on the clinical, hormonal, and radiological features present at the diagnosis of patients with PHEOs.
A retrospective multicenter cohort study of patients with PHEOs with available genetic study from 18 tertiary hospitals. Clinical, biochemical, and radiological features were used to build a multivariate logistic regression model. The estimation of all possible equations was used to select the model with the best diagnostic accuracy (lower Akaike index).
A total of 245 patients were included: 169 (69.0%) patients with sporadic PHEOs and 76 (31%) with hereditary PHEOs. The parsimonious predictive model with the highest diagnostic accuracy for the prediction of hereditary PHEO combined the variables age, non-cardiovascular disease, urinary norepinephrine levels, and tumor size. The area under the ROC curve of this model was 0.800 (0.705-0.887). Based on the predictive model, the probability of hereditary PHEO in patients older than 60 years with cardiovascular disease, high levels of urinary norepinephrine and unilateral PHEOs >60 mm was <2%. And if the age was above 80 years, lower than 1%. The probability of sporadic PHEO linearly increased with age (MH Test for linear Trend: χ2 (1) = 30.05; p < 0.001).
In certain populations such as old patients with cardiovascular disease, with high levels of urinary norepinephrine and large tumors in which the probability of hereditary PHEO is very low, genetic testing could be avoided in the absence of specific suspicion.
据估计,30-40%的散发性嗜铬细胞瘤(PHEO)患者存在遗传易患综合征。本研究旨在根据 PHEO 患者诊断时的临床、激素和影像学特征,建立遗传性 PHEO 的预测模型。
这是一项回顾性多中心队列研究,纳入了 18 家三级医院中具有遗传研究资料的 PHEO 患者。使用临床、生化和影像学特征来建立多变量逻辑回归模型。使用所有可能的方程估计来选择具有最佳诊断准确性(较低的赤池信息量准则)的模型。
共纳入 245 例患者:169 例(69.0%)为散发性 PHEO,76 例(31%)为遗传性 PHEO。对于遗传性 PHEO 的预测,具有最高诊断准确性的简约预测模型结合了年龄、非心血管疾病、尿去甲肾上腺素水平和肿瘤大小这几个变量。该模型的 ROC 曲线下面积为 0.800(0.705-0.887)。基于预测模型,在患有心血管疾病的年龄超过 60 岁、尿去甲肾上腺素水平高和单侧 PHEO >60mm 的患者中,遗传性 PHEO 的概率<2%。如果年龄超过 80 岁,则概率低于 1%。散发性 PHEO 的概率随年龄呈线性增加(线性趋势检验 MH 检验:χ2(1)=30.05;p <0.001)。
在某些人群中,如患有心血管疾病的老年患者、尿去甲肾上腺素水平高和肿瘤较大的患者,遗传性 PHEO 的可能性非常低,如果没有具体的怀疑,可以避免进行基因检测。