Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing 100048, China.
School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 17;20(3):1694. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20031694.
The Party's 14th Five-Year-Plan and the 2035 Visionary Goals point out that green and sustainable development is the direction of China's road in the present age, and provide a theoretical basis for further improvement of ecological civilization. "Sponge city" is a new type of urban construction idea in China; moving from pilot to vigorous implementation at present, it is an important element of China's promotion of green development and development of ecological civilization. At present, a number of sponge city pilot projects have been built in China, and evaluation of their effects is already a matter of urgency. The overall planning of China's current policies in sponge city construction and the specific analyses conducted by experts from both subjective and objective aspects have not been able to completely fill the gap in this regard, thus making it particularly urgent to conduct in-depth studies. Based on this, this paper discusses the performance assessment of sponge cities in China on the basis of the prediction and analysis of the development trend of sponge cities in China. In the performance assessment system, the correctness and timeliness of the index system should be considered in terms of practical effects; in the city performance assessment, the ideas of new city development such as low-carbon cities and smart cities should be combined to build a comprehensive and multi-perspective intelligent assessment system, so as to provide a strong boost to promote the development of city construction and its evaluative research. Firstly, a system-dynamic model is applied to sort out and combine its internal operation mechanism, and a set of evaluation systems based on the ecological philosophical perspective of the sponge city and urban sustainable development performance is established. Second, to improve the accuracy of the research results, parallelism tests and robustness analysis were conducted on this performance index evaluation system. The study's results show that sponge city construction has achieved good results in sustainable urban development and has contributed to future development.
党的“十四五”规划和 2035 年远景目标指出,绿色可持续发展是中国当代的道路方向,为进一步完善生态文明提供了理论基础。“海绵城市”是中国新型城市建设理念;目前正从试点转向大力实施,是中国推动绿色发展和生态文明建设的重要元素。目前,中国已建设了多个海绵城市试点项目,评估其效果已迫在眉睫。中国海绵城市建设政策的总体规划和专家从主观和客观方面进行的具体分析都未能完全填补这方面的空白,因此深入研究显得尤为迫切。在此基础上,本文在预测和分析中国海绵城市发展趋势的基础上,对中国海绵城市的绩效评估进行了探讨。在绩效评估体系中,应从实际效果出发考虑指标体系的正确性和及时性;在城市绩效评估中,应结合低碳城市和智慧城市等新城市发展理念,构建全面、多角度的智能评估体系,为促进城市建设及其评价研究的发展提供有力推动。首先,应用系统动力学模型对其内部运行机制进行梳理和组合,建立了一套基于海绵城市生态哲学观和城市可持续发展绩效的评价体系。其次,为了提高研究结果的准确性,对该绩效指标评价体系进行了并行性测试和稳健性分析。研究结果表明,海绵城市建设在可持续城市发展方面取得了良好成效,为未来发展做出了贡献。