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男性性别不是影响甲状腺癌术后患者预后的危险因素:一项倾向评分匹配研究。

Male Sex Is Not a Risk Factor for Prognosis in Postoperative Thyroid Cancer Patients: A Propensity Score Matching Study.

机构信息

Department of Nuclear Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin 300041, China.

Department of Nuclear Medicine, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200120, China.

出版信息

J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2023 Nov 17;108(12):3330-3337. doi: 10.1210/clinem/dgad314.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To study whether male sex is a risk factor for prognosis in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer after 131I treatment using the propensity score matching (PSM) method.

METHODS

From April 2016 to October 2021, 1948 postoperative differentiated thyroid cancer patients aged 43 (interquartile range: 34, 54) years who received 131I treatment were retrospectively enrolled and divided into male (n = 645) and female groups (n = 1303). The PSM method was adopted to process all data to reduce the influence of data bias and confounding variables. The Mann-Whitney U test and χ2 test were used for data analysis. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors affecting prognosis, and the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to analyze the relationship between stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) level, 131I dose, and poor prognosis.

RESULTS

Before PSM, the proportion of male patients with poor prognosis was significantly higher than that of female patients. After PSM, there was no difference in the proportion of poor prognosis between male and female groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that male sex; high T stage, N1b stage, and M1 stage; high sTg level; and high 131I dose were risk factors for poor prognosis before PSM. After PSM, high T stage, M1 stage, high sTg level, and 131I dose were still risk factors but male sex was no longer a risk factor for poor prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

After the reduction of selection bias by PSM, male sex was no longer a risk factor for prognosis after 131I treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer. In addition, high T stage (T3 + T4 stage), M1 stage, sTg ≥10.15 ng/mL, and 131I dose ≥260 mCi were risk factors for poor prognosis.

摘要

目的

采用倾向评分匹配(PSM)方法研究男性性别是否为接受 131I 治疗后的分化型甲状腺癌患者预后的危险因素。

方法

回顾性纳入 2016 年 4 月至 2021 年 10 月间收治的 1948 例术后分化型甲状腺癌患者,患者年龄 43(四分位间距:34,54)岁,均接受 131I 治疗,其中男性 645 例,女性 1303 例。采用 PSM 法处理所有数据以减少数据偏倚和混杂因素的影响。采用 Mann-Whitney U 检验和 χ2 检验进行数据分析。采用多因素 logistic 回归分析影响预后的危险因素,采用受试者工作特征曲线分析刺激甲状腺球蛋白(sTg)水平、131I 剂量与预后不良的关系。

结果

PSM 前,男性患者预后不良的比例明显高于女性患者。PSM 后,男性和女性组的预后不良比例无差异。多因素 logistic 回归分析显示,男性性别;T 分期高(T3+T4 期)、N1b 期、M1 期;高 sTg 水平;131I 剂量高是 PSM 前预后不良的危险因素。PSM 后,高 T 分期、M1 期、高 sTg 水平和 131I 剂量仍然是预后不良的危险因素,但男性性别不再是预后不良的危险因素。

结论

PSM 降低选择偏倚后,男性性别不再是分化型甲状腺癌 131I 治疗后预后的危险因素。此外,T 分期高(T3+T4 期)、M1 期、sTg≥10.15ng/ml 和 131I 剂量≥260mCi 是预后不良的危险因素。

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