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卒中与精神病的纵向关联:一项基于人群的研究。

Longitudinal associations between stroke and psychosis: a population-based study.

机构信息

Research Department of Clinical, Educational and Health Psychology, University College London, London, UK.

Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK.

出版信息

Psychol Med. 2023 Dec;53(16):7698-7706. doi: 10.1017/S0033291723001575. Epub 2023 Jun 5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The co-occurrence of stroke and psychosis is a serious neuropsychiatric condition but little is known about the course of this comorbidity. We aimed to estimate longitudinal associations between stroke and psychosis over 10 years.

METHODS

A 10-year population-based study using data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. A structured health assessment recorded (i) first-occurrence stroke and (ii) psychosis, at each wave. Each were considered exposures and outcomes in separate analyses. Logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier methods were used. Models were adjusted for demographic and health behaviour covariates, with missing covariates imputed using random forest multiple imputation.

RESULTS

Of 19 808 participants, 24 reported both stroke and psychosis (median Wave 1 age 63, 71% female, 50% lowest quintile of net financial wealth) at any point during follow-up. By 10 years, the probability of an incident first stroke in participants with psychosis was 21.4% [95% confidence interval (CI) 12.1-29.6] compared to 8.3% (95% CI 7.8-8.8) in those without psychosis (absolute difference: 13.1%; 95% CI 20.8-4.3, log rank < 0.001; fully-adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 3.57; 95% CI 2.18-5.84). The probability of reporting incident psychosis in participants with stroke was 2.3% (95% CI 1.4-3.2) compared to 0.9% (95% CI 0.7-1.1) in those without (absolute difference: 1.4%; 95% CI 0.7-2.1, log rank < 0.001; fully-adjusted HR: 4.98; 95% CI 2.55-9.72).

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke is an independent predictor of psychosis (and vice versa), after adjustment for potential confounders.

摘要

背景

中风和精神病同时发生是一种严重的神经精神疾病,但人们对这种合并症的病程知之甚少。我们旨在估计中风和精神病在 10 年内的纵向关联。

方法

一项使用英国老龄化纵向研究数据的 10 年人群研究。在每个波次中,一项结构化的健康评估记录了(i)首次发生的中风和(ii)精神病。这两者在单独的分析中都被视为暴露因素和结果。使用逻辑和 Cox 比例风险回归以及 Kaplan-Meier 方法。模型调整了人口统计学和健康行为协变量,使用随机森林多重插补法对缺失的协变量进行插补。

结果

在 19808 名参与者中,24 名在随访期间任何时候都报告了中风和精神病(中位波 1 年龄 63 岁,71%为女性,50%为净财务财富最低五分位数)。在 10 年内,患有精神病的参与者发生首次中风的概率为 21.4%(95%置信区间[CI]为 12.1-29.6),而无精神病的参与者为 8.3%(95% CI 为 7.8-8.8)(绝对差异:13.1%;95% CI 为 20.8-4.3,对数秩检验<0.001;完全调整后的风险比[HR]:3.57;95% CI 为 2.18-5.84)。在患有中风的参与者中,报告发生精神病的概率为 2.3%(95% CI 为 1.4-3.2),而在无中风的参与者中为 0.9%(95% CI 为 0.7-1.1)(绝对差异:1.4%;95% CI 为 0.7-2.1,对数秩检验<0.001;完全调整后的 HR:4.98;95% CI 为 2.55-9.72)。

结论

在调整了潜在混杂因素后,中风是精神病的独立预测因素(反之亦然)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8aeb/10755233/96e32d496e91/S0033291723001575_fig1.jpg

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