United Nations University-Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (UNU-MERIT), Maastricht University, Maastricht, 6211 LK, the Netherlands.
Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, 2628 CB, the Netherlands.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 Jun 5;120(0):e2206189120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2206189120.
Involuntary displacement from conflict and other causes leads to clustering of refugees and internally displaced people, often in long-term settlements. Within refugee-hosting countries, refugee settlements are frequently located in isolated and remote areas, characterized by poor-quality land and harsh climatic conditions. Yet, the exposure of refugee settlements to climatic events is underresearched. In this article, we study the exposure of the 20 largest refugee settlements worldwide to extreme variations in climatic conditions. The analysis integrates exposure of camp locations compared to the national trends for both slow- and rapid-onset events and includes descriptive statistics, signal-to-noise analyses, and trend analyses. Our findings show that most refugee settlements included face relatively high exposure to slow-onset events, including high temperatures (for settlements in Kenya, Ethiopia, Rwanda, Sudan, and Uganda), low temperatures (in the case of Jordan and Pakistan), and low levels of rainfall (in Ethiopia, Rwanda, Kenya, and Uganda) compared to national averages. Our findings for rapid-onset events-heatwaves, coldwaves, and extreme rainfall-are less conclusive compared to country trends, although we find relatively high exposure to extreme rainfall in Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh. Our analyses confirm that refugee populations are exposed to extreme weather conditions postdisplacement, which, in combination with their sociopolitical exclusion, poses a threat to well-being and increased marginalization. Our findings call for an inclusive and integrated approach, including refugees and their host communities, in designing climate adaptation and sustainable development policies, in order to promote equitable sustainable development pathways in refugee-hosting countries.
由于非自愿流离失所以及其他原因,难民和国内流离失所者往往集中在长期定居点,形成聚居区。在收容难民的国家,难民定居点通常位于偏远地区,这些地区土地质量差,气候条件恶劣。然而,有关难民定居点受气候事件影响的研究却很少。本文研究了全球 20 个人口最多的难民定居点在面临气候条件极端变化时的暴露情况。该分析将营地地点的暴露情况与各国在缓慢和快速发生事件方面的趋势进行了比较,包括描述性统计、信号与噪声分析以及趋势分析。研究结果表明,与全国平均水平相比,大多数难民定居点面临着较高的缓慢发生事件的暴露风险,包括高温(肯尼亚、埃塞俄比亚、卢旺达、苏丹和乌干达的定居点)、低温(约旦和巴基斯坦)以及低降雨量(埃塞俄比亚、卢旺达、肯尼亚和乌干达)。与国家趋势相比,我们对快速发生事件(热浪、寒潮和极端降雨)的分析结果不太明确,但在孟加拉国的考克斯巴扎尔,我们发现了相对较高的极端降雨暴露风险。研究结果证实,难民在流离失所后面临极端天气条件,这与他们的社会政治排斥相结合,对福祉和进一步边缘化构成威胁。我们的研究结果呼吁在设计气候适应和可持续发展政策时,采取包容和综合的方法,将难民及其收容社区纳入其中,以便在难民收容国促进公平的可持续发展途径。