Pediatric Pathology Research Center, Research Institute for Children's Health, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
BMJ Paediatr Open. 2023 Jun;7(1). doi: 10.1136/bmjpo-2022-001802.
Childhood lymphoma is the second leading cause of cancer in children under 15 years of age in Iran. The aim of this study was to investigate the spatial and time variations in lymphoma incidence as well as the children's survival time in Iran.
This cross-sectional study was conducted using lymphoma cases (children under 14 years of age) from 2005 to 2015, and the data were obtained from the National Cancer Registry Center. The frequency, age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), spatial clustering in national level and the survival rate (1 year and 5 years) using Kaplan-Meier method were evaluated. We used Spatial and Temporal Scan statistics software in order to detect statistically significant clusters in spatial analysis.
A total number of 746 girls and 1610 boys were diagnosed with lymphoma during a 10-year period. ASIRs (per 100 000 people) for girls ranged from 0 in Ilam to 3.47 in Yasuj, and it ranged from 0.19 in Ilam to 5.91 in Yazd for boys from 2005 to 2015. Spatial analysis result showed a large statistically significant cluster (the most likely cluster) for both boys (relative risk (RR)=2.37) and girls (RR=2.49) located in the northwest of Iran. Fortunately, survival rate for both boys and girls was over 95.5%.
Lymphoma incidence rates had heterogeneous geographical distribution, and some significant clusters were identified which strengthens the role of possible aetiological factors, and further studies are needed to clarify this ambiguity. Fortunately, the survival rate of this cancer in Iran was good and it was similar to the high-income countries.
在伊朗,儿童淋巴瘤是 15 岁以下儿童癌症的第二大主要病因。本研究旨在调查淋巴瘤发病率的时空变化以及伊朗儿童的生存时间。
本横断面研究使用了 2005 年至 2015 年期间儿童(14 岁以下)的淋巴瘤病例,数据来自国家癌症登记中心。评估了频率、年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、国家层面的空间聚类以及使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法的生存率(1 年和 5 年)。我们使用空间和时空扫描统计软件来检测空间分析中具有统计学意义的聚类。
在 10 年期间,共诊断出 746 名女孩和 1610 名男孩患有淋巴瘤。女孩的 ASIR(每 10 万人)从 Ilam 的 0 到 Yasuj 的 3.47 不等,从 2005 年到 2015 年,男孩的 ASIR 从 Ilam 的 0.19 到 Yazd 的 5.91 不等。空间分析结果显示,伊朗西北部存在一个具有统计学意义的大型集群(最有可能的集群),无论是男孩(相对风险 (RR)=2.37)还是女孩(RR=2.49)。幸运的是,男孩和女孩的生存率均超过 95.5%。
淋巴瘤发病率具有异质的地理分布,确定了一些显著的集群,这加强了可能的病因因素的作用,需要进一步研究来澄清这种模糊性。幸运的是,伊朗这种癌症的生存率很好,与高收入国家相似。