Shin Won-Jung, Kwon Hye-Mee, Kim Sung-Hoon, Jang Hwa-Young, Kim Ji-Young, Kim Jae-Hwan, Kim Kyoung-Sun, Moon Young-Jin, Jun In-Gu, Song Jun-Gol, Hwang Gyu-Sam
Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Laboratory for Cardiovascular Dynamics, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
JACC Asia. 2023 May 16;3(3):506-517. doi: 10.1016/j.jacasi.2023.03.007. eCollection 2023 Jun.
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and its risk factors are increasingly recognized in patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD).
The aim of this study was to characterize HFpEF and identify relevant risk factors in patients with ESLD. Additionally, the prognostic impact of high-probability HFpEF on post-liver transplantation (LT) mortality was investigated.
Patients with ESLD prospectively enrolled from the Asan LT Registry between 2008 and 2019 were divided into groups with low (scores of 0 and 1), intermediate (scores of 2-4), and high (scores of 5 and 6) probability using the Heart Failure Association-PEFF diagnostic score for HFpEF. Gradient-boosted modeling in machine learning was further used to appraise the apparent importance of risk factors. Finally, post-LT all-cause mortality was followed for 12.8 years (median 5.3 years); there were 498 deaths after LT.
Among the 3,244 patients, 215 belonged to the high-probability group, commonly those with advanced age, female sex, anemia, dyslipidemia, renal dysfunction, and hypertension. The highest risk factors for the high-probability group, according to gradient-boosted modeling, were female sex, anemia, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and age >65 years. Among patients with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores of >30, those with high, intermediate, and low probability had cumulative overall survival rates of 71.6%, 82.2%, and 88.9% at 1 year and 54.8%, 72.1%, and 88.9% at 12 years after LT (log-rank = 0.026), respectively.
High-probability HFpEF was found in 6.6% of patients with ESLD with poorer long-term post-LT survival, especially those with advanced stages of liver disease. Therefore, identifying HFpEF using the Heart Failure Association-PEFF score and addressing modifiable risk factors can improve post-LT survival.
射血分数保留的心力衰竭(HFpEF)及其危险因素在终末期肝病(ESLD)患者中越来越受到关注。
本研究旨在描述ESLD患者的HFpEF特征并确定相关危险因素。此外,还研究了高概率HFpEF对肝移植(LT)后死亡率的预后影响。
2008年至2019年从峨山LT登记处前瞻性纳入的ESLD患者,使用心力衰竭协会-PEFF诊断评分将其分为低概率组(评分为0和1)、中概率组(评分为2-4)和高概率组(评分为5和6)。进一步使用机器学习中的梯度提升模型来评估危险因素的表观重要性。最后,对LT后的全因死亡率进行了12.8年(中位数5.3年)的随访;LT后有498例死亡。
在3244例患者中,215例属于高概率组,这些患者通常年龄较大、为女性、有贫血、血脂异常、肾功能不全和高血压。根据梯度提升模型,高概率组的最高危险因素是女性、贫血、高血压、血脂异常和年龄>65岁。在终末期肝病模型评分>30的患者中,高概率、中概率和低概率患者在LT后1年的累积总生存率分别为71.6%、82.2%和88.9%,在12年时分别为54.8%、72.1%和88.9%(对数秩检验=0.026)。
在6.6%的ESLD患者中发现了高概率HFpEF,这些患者LT后的长期生存率较差,尤其是那些肝病晚期患者。因此,使用心力衰竭协会-PEFF评分识别HFpEF并处理可改变的危险因素可以提高LT后的生存率。