Shojaee Ali, Akbari Sari Ali, Farzadfar Farshad, Davari Majid, Daroudi Rajabali, Shajari Pour Mousavi Sayyed Masoud
Department of Health Management and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
National Center for Health Insurance Research, Iran Health Insurance Organization, Tehran, Iran.
Iran J Public Health. 2023 May;52(5):1071-1080. doi: 10.18502/ijph.v52i5.12725.
Exploring and analyzing the cost of medicines is an important tool for their management and planning. This study aims to analyze the utilization and costs of parenteral anti-diabetic medications during the past decade and predict the future trend of these medications from 2021 to 2031 in people that are covered by Iran Health Insurance Organization (IHIO).
This study was based on secondary analysis of data routinely reported to IHIO from 2011 to 2019. For each drug, the Defined Daily Dose (DDDs) and DDDs per 1000 inhabitants per day were calculated for the last 9 years according to the WHO protocol. Then a regression analysis was used to predict the utilization trend of each drug for the following 10 years.
The overall utilization of injectable antidiabetic drugs has constantly increased during the last nine years. This increasing trend is estimated to continue during the next decade.
In Iran, the increase in the diabetic population and better access in the future will be the main reasons for the increase in the utilization of various insulins. The increasing trend of utilizing injectable anti-diabetic drugs in Iran might be partly due to new patients and partly because of improvement in patient access to new treatments. This also suggests that, compared to the average in the commonwealth countries, Iranian diabetic patients has faced lack of drug utilization in the past decade that is gradually reducing.
探索和分析药品成本是药品管理和规划的重要工具。本研究旨在分析过去十年中肠外抗糖尿病药物的使用情况和成本,并预测2021年至2031年伊朗健康保险组织(IHIO)覆盖人群中这些药物的未来趋势。
本研究基于对2011年至2019年定期向IHIO报告的数据进行二次分析。根据世界卫生组织的方案,计算每种药物在过去9年中的限定日剂量(DDD)和每千居民每日DDD。然后使用回归分析预测每种药物在接下来10年的使用趋势。
在过去九年中,注射用抗糖尿病药物的总体使用量持续增加。预计这种增长趋势将在未来十年持续。
在伊朗,糖尿病患者数量的增加和未来更好的可及性将是各种胰岛素使用量增加的主要原因。伊朗注射用抗糖尿病药物使用量的增加趋势可能部分归因于新患者,部分归因于患者获得新治疗的机会改善。这也表明,与英联邦国家的平均水平相比,伊朗糖尿病患者在过去十年中面临药物使用不足的情况,这种情况正在逐渐减少。