Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, USA.
Respiratory Physiology Laboratory, Medical School, University of Cyprus, Cyprus.
Environ Res. 2023 Nov 15;237(Pt 1):116885. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.116885. Epub 2023 Aug 20.
Reduced birthweight is associated with adverse perinatal and long-term outcomes. A few studies examined the association between climatic factors and birthweight with inconsistent results probably due to differences in exposure assessment, statistical models, climatic parameters, and study populations.
We obtained data from the Republic of Cyprus birth registry from 2007 to 2020, and matched climatic exposures (i.e., temperature, relative humidity, temperature variability, humidity variability) by the hospital district at birth. We used distributed lag models to examine the association between term birthweight, temperature, humidity, and their variability to identify critical windows. Our models were adjusted for coarse particulate matter level (≤10 μm [PM), and individual-level covariates. Subgroup analysis was conducted to examine effect modification by maternal age and education.
We identified two critical windows of exposure to ambient temperature at early and late pregnancy. The cumulative change of birthweight per 5 °C increases in mean weekly temperature was -57.27 (2%) (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 99.62 (3.1%), -14.92 (0.5%)) and -79.2 (2.5%) (95%CI: 117.03 (3.5%), -41.52 (1.3%)) grams during weeks 1-8 and weeks 28-37, respectively. There was no significant effect of humidity, temperature variability, or humidity variability on birthweight. Based on subgroup analysis, mothers with post-secondary education were more sensitive to temperature, but the marginal significance of differences in effect estimates may be linked with differences in sample size.
Our study suggests that higher ambient temperature exposure during early and late pregnancy is associated with lower birthweight in main and subgroup analysis. The findings demonstrate in a country highly impacted by climate change like Cyprus that rising temperatures may be associated with perinatal outcomes in susceptible populations during sensitive windows of exposure.
出生体重降低与围产期和长期不良结局有关。一些研究检查了气候因素与出生体重之间的关系,但结果不一致,这可能是由于暴露评估、统计模型、气候参数和研究人群的差异造成的。
我们从 2007 年至 2020 年获得了塞浦路斯共和国出生登记处的数据,并按出生时的医院区匹配气候暴露(即温度、相对湿度、温度变异性、湿度变异性)。我们使用分布式滞后模型来检查足月出生体重与温度、湿度及其变异性之间的关系,以确定关键窗口。我们的模型调整了粗颗粒物水平(≤10μm[PM])和个体水平的协变量。进行亚组分析,以检查母体年龄和教育对效应修饰的影响。
我们确定了妊娠早期和晚期暴露于环境温度的两个关键窗口。每周平均温度每升高 5°C,出生体重的累积变化为-57.27(2%)(95%置信区间[CI]:99.62(3.1%),-14.92(0.5%))和-79.2(2.5%)(95%CI:117.03(3.5%),-41.52(1.3%))克,分别在第 1-8 周和第 28-37 周。湿度、温度变异性或湿度变异性对出生体重没有显著影响。基于亚组分析,接受过中学后教育的母亲对温度更敏感,但效应估计差异的边缘显著性可能与样本量的差异有关。
我们的研究表明,妊娠早期和晚期暴露于较高的环境温度与主要和亚组分析中的低出生体重有关。这些发现表明,在塞浦路斯这样一个受气候变化影响很大的国家,气温升高可能与易感人群在敏感暴露窗口期间的围产期结局有关。