Daysarih Tápanes-Robau, Ana Santurtún, Pablo Fdez-Arroyabe
Geobiomet Research Group, Faculty of Phylosophy, Department of Geography and Urban and Regional Planning, University of Cantabria, Santander 39005, Spain.
Geobiomet Research Group, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, University of Cantabria. IDIVAL, Santander 39011, Spain.
MethodsX. 2023 Aug 23;11:102331. doi: 10.1016/j.mex.2023.102331. eCollection 2023 Dec.
In the context of climate change, extreme weather events and sudden shifts in weather patterns are becoming increasingly frequent. The atmosphere is considered a source of meteorological and climatic risks for human beings and living organisms. Numerous studies have examined the correlation between meteorological variables and human morbidity and mortality. However, only a few authors have investigated the impact of environmental changes on human health and, to our knowledge, there are no meteorological indices proposing a methodology for assessing changes in atmospheric conditions. Under the hypothesis that meteorological disruptions have an impact on human health, this article proposes a method to calculate a new index, the Meteorological Contrast Index (MCI), based on weather changes. This index takes into account three variables: i) categorization based on the type of atmospheric process, ii) changes in these categories over a specific time period, and iii) the level of stress associated with these changes, considering the severity of the transition from one category to another. If the predictive value of this index is proven for a specific meteorological variable and disease, it could be valuable in defining biometeorological early warning systems for the prevention and management of healthcare resources.•The Meteorological Contrast Index is the first index that proposes a method to assess changes in atmospheric conditions.•Atmospheric changes are a significant source of biometeorological distress, which can be quantitatively defined using the Meteorological Contrast Index.•Certain diseases are sensitive to the weather, and their incidence may increase under specific sequences of weather types.
在气候变化的背景下,极端天气事件和天气模式的突然转变日益频繁。大气被视为人类和生物面临的气象和气候风险源。众多研究考察了气象变量与人类发病率和死亡率之间的相关性。然而,只有少数作者研究了环境变化对人类健康的影响,据我们所知,尚无气象指数提出评估大气状况变化的方法。在气象干扰会对人类健康产生影响这一假设下,本文提出一种基于天气变化计算新指数——气象对比指数(MCI)的方法。该指数考虑三个变量:i)基于大气过程类型的分类;ii)这些类别在特定时间段内的变化;iii)与这些变化相关的压力水平,同时考虑从一个类别到另一个类别的转变严重程度。如果该指数对特定气象变量和疾病的预测价值得到证实,那么它在定义生物气象预警系统以预防和管理医疗资源方面可能具有重要价值。
•气象对比指数是首个提出评估大气状况变化方法的指数。
•大气变化是生物气象困扰的重要来源,可使用气象对比指数进行定量界定。
•某些疾病对天气敏感,在特定天气类型序列下其发病率可能会增加。