基于网络安全的深度联邦学习的广义全球太阳辐射预测模型。
Generalized global solar radiation forecasting model via cyber-secure deep federated learning.
机构信息
Faculty of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, 5166616471, Iran.
GECAD - Research Group on Intelligent Engineering and Computing for Advanced Innovation and Development, LASI - Intelligent Systems Associate Laboratory, Polytechnic of Porto, P-4200-072, Porto, Portugal.
出版信息
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Mar;31(12):18281-18295. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-30224-1. Epub 2023 Oct 14.
Recently, the increasing prevalence of solar energy in power and energy systems around the world has dramatically increased the importance of accurately predicting solar irradiance. However, the lack of access to data in many regions and the privacy concerns that can arise when collecting and transmitting data from distributed points to a central server pose challenges to current predictive techniques. This study proposes a global solar radiation forecasting approach based on federated learning (FL) and convolutional neural network (CNN). In addition to maintaining input data privacy, the proposed procedure can also be used as a global supermodel. In this paper, data related to eight regions of Iran with different climatic features are considered as CNN input for network training in each client. To test the effectiveness of the global supermodel, data related to three new regions of Iran named Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak are used. It can be seen that the global forecasting supermodel was able to forecast solar radiation for Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak regions with 95%, 92%, and 90% accuracy coefficients, respectively. Finally, in a comparative scenario, various conventional machine learning and deep learning models are employed to forecast solar radiation in each of the study regions. The results of the above approaches are compared and evaluated with the results of the proposed FL-based method. The results show that, since no training data were available from regions of Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak, the conventional methods were not able to forecast solar radiation in these regions. This evaluation confirms the high ability of the presented FL approach to make acceptable predictions while preserving privacy and eliminating model reliance on training data.
最近,全球能源系统中太阳能的日益普及极大地提高了准确预测太阳能辐射的重要性。然而,在许多地区缺乏数据访问权限,以及从分布式点向中央服务器收集和传输数据时可能出现的隐私问题,对当前的预测技术提出了挑战。本研究提出了一种基于联邦学习(FL)和卷积神经网络(CNN)的全球太阳辐射预测方法。除了维护输入数据的隐私性外,所提出的程序还可以用作全球超级模型。在本文中,考虑了伊朗八个具有不同气候特征的地区的数据作为 CNN 在每个客户端中进行网络训练的输入。为了测试全球超级模型的有效性,使用了与伊朗的三个新地区(Abadeh、Jarqavieh 和 Arak)相关的数据。可以看出,全球预测超级模型能够以 95%、92%和 90%的精度系数分别对 Abadeh、Jarqavieh 和 Arak 地区的太阳辐射进行预测。最后,在一个比较方案中,使用了各种传统机器学习和深度学习模型来预测研究区域中的太阳辐射。比较和评估了上述方法的结果与基于 FL 的方法的结果。结果表明,由于 Abadeh、Jarqavieh 和 Arak 地区没有可用的训练数据,因此传统方法无法对这些地区的太阳辐射进行预测。该评估证实了所提出的 FL 方法在保护隐私和消除对训练数据的模型依赖的同时,具有进行可接受预测的高能力。