Peng Jun Long, Liu Xiao, Peng Chao, Shao Yu
Changsha University of Science & Technology, Chang Sha City, China.
Heliyon. 2023 Nov 10;9(12):e22167. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e22167. eCollection 2023 Dec.
Working at heights poses frequent and significant risks, demanding scientific approaches for investigating fall-from-height (FFH) incidents and proposing preventive measures to enhance building safety. Nevertheless, ongoing research on analyzing the causal factors behind fall-from-height accidents lacks a comprehensive qualitative and quantitative assessment of the interplay between these factors. To bridge this gap, this study introduces an integrated risk analysis model. Utilizing incident reports and leveraging the multi-case rootedness theory, the model initially identifies influential elements. Subsequently, employing the Grey Decision Making Laboratory (Grey-DEMATEL) and Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) techniques, a hierarchical network is constructed, followed by the transformation of this hierarchical network model into a Bayesian Network (BN) model using GeNie2.0 software. Ultimately, the study was based on data from 420 accident cases and analyzed the causes and diagnosis of the accidents. The findings indicate that A5 (Low-security awareness) is the most significant factor contributing to falls from great heights and that the connection between the components is dynamic and non-linear rather than simply independent and linear. Furthermore, the study established a likelihood of occurrence of such incidents of up to 57 % and ranked the probability of occurrence of each contributing component in the case of a fall from height. This study presents a scientifically valid method for analyzing fall-from-height accidents. Experimental results confirm the model's applicability, empowering contractors to improve safety management by accessing precise risk information and prioritizing preventive measures against interrelated accidents. The model facilitates informed decision-making for contractors to effectively mitigate fall-from-height risks and establish a safer working environment.
高处作业存在频繁且重大的风险,需要科学的方法来调查高处坠落(FFH)事故,并提出预防措施以提高建筑安全。然而,目前关于分析高处坠落事故背后因果因素的研究缺乏对这些因素之间相互作用的全面定性和定量评估。为了弥补这一差距,本研究引入了一种综合风险分析模型。该模型利用事故报告并借助多案例根源理论,首先识别有影响的因素。随后,运用灰色决策实验室(Grey - DEMATEL)和解释结构模型(ISM)技术构建层次网络,接着使用GeNie2.0软件将此层次网络模型转换为贝叶斯网络(BN)模型。最终,该研究基于420起事故案例的数据,分析了事故原因并进行诊断。研究结果表明,A5(安全意识淡薄)是导致高处坠落的最主要因素,各组成部分之间的联系是动态且非线性的,而非简单的独立和线性关系。此外,该研究确定此类事故发生的可能性高达57%,并对高处坠落情况下各促成因素发生的概率进行了排序。本研究提出了一种科学有效的分析高处坠落事故的方法。实验结果证实了该模型的适用性,使承包商能够通过获取精确的风险信息并优先采取针对相关事故的预防措施来改进安全管理。该模型有助于承包商做出明智决策,以有效降低高处坠落风险并建立更安全的工作环境。