Preston-Martin S, Bernstein L, Pike M C, Maldonado A A, Henderson B E
Br J Cancer. 1987 Feb;55(2):191-5. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1987.36.
We conducted an epidemiologic case-control study of thyroid cancer in women aged 40 and under to test the hypothesis that endogenous hormones may relate to the development of this disease, since the only known cause of thyroid cancer, ionizing radiation, does not account for the striking female over male excess. When compared to neighbour controls women with thyroid cancer more often had a history of benign hyperplastic thyroid disease (Relative Risk (RR) = 14.5; P less than 0.01) and more often had ever been pregnant (RR = 2.1; P = 0.04). Both these findings were consistent with findings of previous studies. After eliminating women with a history of hyperplastic thyroid disease from the analysis we found a strong association with miscarriage as the outcome of the first pregnancy (RR = 11.5; P less than 0.01), and we suspect that this factor may be another indicator of thyroid abnormality. An independent and increasing risk was observed with an increase in the total number of pregnancies after excluding women with prior thyroid disease and those whose first pregnancy ended in a miscarriage. The RR for 4 or more pregnancies was 6.3 (P = 0.03). Prior exposure to radiation therapy was not an important factor in our study of young women; this suggests that the emphasis in future studies of thyroid cancer must shift to study other types of risk factors.
我们对40岁及以下女性的甲状腺癌进行了一项流行病学病例对照研究,以检验内源性激素可能与该疾病发展相关的假设,因为甲状腺癌唯一已知的病因——电离辐射,并不能解释女性明显多于男性的现象。与邻居对照相比,患甲状腺癌的女性更常有良性增生性甲状腺疾病史(相对风险(RR)= 14.5;P < 0.01),且更常有怀孕史(RR = 2.1;P = 0.04)。这两项发现均与先前研究的结果一致。在分析中排除有增生性甲状腺疾病史的女性后,我们发现首次怀孕结局为流产与之有很强的关联(RR = 11.5;P < 0.01),并且我们怀疑这个因素可能是甲状腺异常的另一个指标。在排除有既往甲状腺疾病的女性和首次怀孕以流产告终的女性后,随着怀孕总数的增加,观察到独立且不断增加的风险。4次或更多次怀孕的RR为6.3(P = 0.03)。在我们对年轻女性的研究中,既往接受放射治疗不是一个重要因素;这表明未来甲状腺癌研究的重点必须转向研究其他类型的风险因素。