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政府对股票市场和碳排放的作用:基于小波方法的证据。

Role of the government towards stock markets and carbon emissions: evidence from wavelet approach.

机构信息

Ghazali Shafie Graduate School of Government, Universiti Utara, Sintok, Malaysia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Feb;31(7):11285-11306. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-31843-y. Epub 2024 Jan 13.

Abstract

The government of any country can play a great role in promoting economic and environmental policy reforms in both normal and crisis periods, but during the crisis period, the role of the government should take the economy into a recovery position. The stock market is the backbone of the financial system that needs the government's attention, especially in the period of financial stress and environmental protection is the responsibility of every economy to live in a healthy environment. Combining this motive, this study analyzed the role of the government towards the stock market and carbon emission by using different approaches, including the wavelet approach, OLS regression, and the Granger causality test. The wavelet approach is useful for analyzing the role of the government at different time intervals by using the time horizon from 1993 to 2021. World governance's six indicators in terms of voice and accountability, control of corruption, rules of law, regulatory quality, political stability, and government effectiveness are used as the proxy for the role of the government. Our findings show that all WGI indicators have a positive relationship with the stock market of Malaysia except voice and accountability while concerning voice and accountability, the role of the government of Malaysia is negative on the stock market. Similarly, our findings also show that the effective government governance mechanism through WGI indicators has a significant positive impact on CO emission due to industrialization. Furthermore, findings of the Granger causality test reveal that all the WGI indicators cause to stock market of Malaysia, and political stability has bi-directional causality indicating stock market index is also a factor that caused the political stability within Malaysia. In the Granger causality results of the CO and WGI indicators, there is unidirectional causality found between rules of law and regulatory quality with CO emission. This study advocated strong implementations for the investors for investment decisions in effective governance countries and implications for the government to remove their weakness by making effective governance related to the economy and as well as the environments within the country.

摘要

任何国家的政府都可以在正常和危机时期在促进经济和环境政策改革方面发挥重要作用,但在危机时期,政府的作用应该将经济置于复苏地位。股票市场是金融体系的支柱,需要政府关注,尤其是在金融压力时期,环境保护是每个经济体在健康环境中生存的责任。结合这一动机,本研究使用了不同的方法,包括小波方法、OLS 回归和格兰杰因果检验,分析了政府对股票市场和碳排放的作用。小波方法通过使用 1993 年至 2021 年的时间范围,在不同的时间间隔内分析政府的作用是有用的。世界治理的六个指标,包括发言权和问责制、腐败控制、法治、监管质量、政治稳定和政府效能,被用作政府作用的代理。我们的研究结果表明,除了发言权和问责制外,所有 WGI 指标都与马来西亚的股票市场呈正相关,而在发言权和问责制方面,马来西亚政府的作用对股票市场是负面的。同样,我们的研究结果还表明,通过 WGI 指标,有效的政府治理机制对工业化导致的 CO 排放有显著的积极影响。此外,格兰杰因果检验的结果表明,所有 WGI 指标都导致马来西亚的股票市场,政治稳定具有双向因果关系,表明股票市场指数也是导致马来西亚内部政治稳定的一个因素。在 CO 和 WGI 指标的格兰杰因果检验结果中,发现法治和监管质量与 CO 排放之间存在单向因果关系。本研究主张投资者在有效治理的国家进行投资决策,并建议政府通过与经济以及国内环境有关的有效治理来消除其弱点。

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