Research Unit, Osakidetza Basque Health Service Galdakao-Usansolo University Hospital Galdakao Spain.
Network for Research on Chronicity, Primary Care, and Health Promotion (RICAPPS) Barakaldo Spain.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2024 Jan 16;18(1):e13240. doi: 10.1111/irv.13240. eCollection 2024 Jan.
Throughout the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic, the severity of the disease has varied. The aim of this study was to determine how patients' comorbidities affected and were related to, different outcomes during this time.
Retrospective cohort study of all patients testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection between March 1, 2020, and January 9, 2022. We extracted sociodemographic, basal comorbidities, prescribed treatments, COVID-19 vaccination data, and outcomes such as death and admission to hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) during the different periods of the pandemic. We used logistic regression to quantify the effect of each covariate in each outcome variable and a random forest algorithm to select the most relevant comorbidities.
Predictors of death included having dementia, heart failure, kidney disease, or cancer, while arterial hypertension, diabetes, ischemic heart, cerebrovascular, peripheral vascular diseases, and leukemia were also relevant. Heart failure, dementia, kidney disease, diabetes, and cancer were predictors of adverse evolution (death or ICU admission) with arterial hypertension, ischemic heart, cerebrovascular, peripheral vascular diseases, and leukemia also relevant. Arterial hypertension, heart failure, diabetes, kidney, ischemic heart diseases, and cancer were predictors of hospitalization, while dyslipidemia and respiratory, cerebrovascular, and peripheral vascular diseases were also relevant.
Preexisting comorbidities such as dementia, cardiovascular and renal diseases, and cancers were those most related to adverse outcomes. Of particular note were the discrepancies between predictors of adverse outcomes and predictors of hospitalization and the fact that patients with dementia had a lower probability of being admitted in the first wave.
在 COVID-19 大流行的演变过程中,疾病的严重程度有所不同。本研究旨在确定在此期间患者的合并症如何影响和与不同结局相关。
这是一项对 2020 年 3 月 1 日至 2022 年 1 月 9 日期间 SARS-CoV-2 感染检测呈阳性的所有患者进行的回顾性队列研究。我们提取了社会人口统计学、基础合并症、规定治疗、COVID-19 疫苗接种数据以及大流行不同时期的死亡和住院、重症监护病房(ICU)入院等结局数据。我们使用逻辑回归量化每个协变量对每个结局变量的影响,并使用随机森林算法选择最相关的合并症。
死亡的预测因素包括痴呆、心力衰竭、肾脏疾病或癌症,而高血压、糖尿病、缺血性心脏病、脑血管病、外周血管疾病和白血病也具有相关性。心力衰竭、痴呆、肾脏疾病、糖尿病和癌症是不良结局(死亡或 ICU 入院)的预测因素,而高血压、缺血性心脏病、脑血管病、外周血管疾病和白血病也具有相关性。高血压、心力衰竭、糖尿病、肾脏疾病、缺血性心脏病和癌症是住院的预测因素,而血脂异常以及呼吸、脑血管和外周血管疾病也具有相关性。
痴呆、心血管和肾脏疾病以及癌症等预先存在的合并症是与不良结局最相关的因素。需要特别注意的是,不良结局的预测因素与住院的预测因素之间存在差异,以及痴呆患者在第一波中入院的可能性较低的事实。