Ng Cia Yik, Wan Jaafar Wan Zurina, Othman Faridah, Lai Sai Hin, Mei Yiwen, Juneng Liew
Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Malaya, Malaysia.
Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, Malaysia.
Sci Total Environ. 2024 Mar 20;917:170249. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170249. Epub 2024 Jan 24.
An effective drought monitoring tool is essential for the development of timely drought early warning system. This study evaluates Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) as a drought indicator in measuring spatiotemporal evolution of droughts over Peninsular Malaysia during 1989-2018. The modified Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope tests were performed to detect the presence of monotonic trends in EDDI, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and their related climate variables. The performance of EDDI in capturing the drought onset, evolutions and demise of historical severe droughts was also compared with SPI and SPEI at multiple timescales. EDDI demonstrates strong spatiotemporal correlations with SPI and SPEI and comparable performance in historical drought events identification. At sub-monthly timescale, 2-week EDDI displays equivalent drought severities and durations for all historical severe droughts corresponding to the monthly EDDI. In the case when rainfall deficits are normalized in an otherwise warm and dry month, EDDI may serve as a great alternative to SPI and SPEI due to it being sensitive to the changes in prevalent atmospheric conditions. Collectively, the results fill in the knowledge gaps on drought evolutions from the evaporative perspective and highlight the efficacy of EDDI as a valuable drought early warning tool for Peninsular Malaysia. Future study should explore the physical mechanisms behind the development of flash drought and the role of evaporation in the drought propagation processes.
有效的干旱监测工具对于及时开发干旱预警系统至关重要。本研究评估蒸发需求干旱指数(EDDI)作为干旱指标,用于衡量1989 - 2018年马来西亚半岛干旱的时空演变。进行了修正的曼 - 肯德尔检验和森斜率检验,以检测EDDI、标准化降水指数(SPI)、标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI)及其相关气候变量中单调趋势的存在。还在多个时间尺度上比较了EDDI在捕捉历史严重干旱的干旱起始、演变和结束方面与SPI和SPEI的性能。EDDI与SPI和SPEI表现出很强的时空相关性,并且在识别历史干旱事件方面具有可比的性能。在亚月度时间尺度上,2周的EDDI对于所有历史严重干旱显示出与月度EDDI相当的干旱严重程度和持续时间。在温暖干燥月份降雨赤字被归一化的情况下,由于EDDI对盛行大气条件的变化敏感,它可能是SPI和SPEI的一个很好的替代指标。总体而言,研究结果填补了从蒸发角度对干旱演变的知识空白,并突出了EDDI作为马来西亚半岛有价值的干旱预警工具的有效性。未来的研究应探索骤发干旱发展背后的物理机制以及蒸发在干旱传播过程中的作用。