Selection of photosynthetic traits by turbulent mixing governs formation of cyanobacterial blooms in shallow eutrophic lakes.

Prediction of the complex cyanobacteria-environment interactions is vital for understanding harmful bloom formation. Most previous studies on these interactions considered specific properties of cyanobacterial cells as representative for the entire population (e.g. growth rate, mortality, and photosynthetic capacity (Pmax)), and assumed that they remained spatiotemporally unchanged. Although, at the population level, the alteration of such traits can be driven by intraspecific competition, little is known about how traits and their plasticity change in response to environmental conditions and affect the bloom formation. Here we test the hypothesis that intraspecific variations in Pmax of cyanobacteria (Microcystis spp.) play an important role in its population dynamics. We coupled a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model with a trait-based phytoplankton model to simulate the effects of physical drivers (turbulence and turbidity) on the Pmax of Microcystis populations for a range of dynamic conditions typical for shallow eutrophic lakes. Our results revealed that turbulence acts as a directional selective driver for changes in Pmax. Depending on the intensity of daily-periodic turbulence, representing wind-driven mixing, a shift in population-averaged phenotypes occurred toward either low Pmax, allowing the population to capture additional light in the upper layers, or high Pmax, enhancing the efficiency of light utilization. Moreover, we observed that a high intraspecific diversity in Pmax accelerated the formation of surface scum by up to more than four times compared to a lower diversity. This study offers insights into mechanisms by which cyanobacteria populations respond to turbulence and underscores the significance of intraspecific variations in cyanobacterial bloom formation.