Department of Hematology/Oncology, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, National Children's Medical Center, Shanghai, 201102, China.
Department of Gastroenterology, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, National Children's Medical Center, Shanghai, 201102, China.
J Clin Immunol. 2024 Feb 19;44(3):67. doi: 10.1007/s10875-024-01669-x.
Interleukin-10 receptor (IL-10R) deficiency can result in life-threatening very early-onset inflammatory bowel disease (VEO-IBD). Umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) is a curative therapy for patients with IL-10R deficiency. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of UCBT in treating IL-10R deficiency and develop a predictive model based on pre-transplant factors.
Eighty patients with IL-10R deficiency who underwent UCBT between July 2015 and April 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Cox proportional hazards regression and random survival forest were used to develop a predictive model.
Median age at transplant was 13.0 months (interquartile range [IQR], 8.8-25.3 months). With a median follow-up time of 29.4 months (IQR, 3.2-57.1 months), the overall survival (OS) rate was 65.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 55.3%-76.3%). The engraftment rate was 85% (95% CI, 77%-93%). The cumulative incidences of acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease were 48.2% (95% CI, 37.1%-59.4%) and 12.2% (95% CI, 4.7%-19.8%), respectively. VEO-IBD-associated clinical symptoms were resolved in all survivors. The multivariate analysis showed that IL-6 and stool occult blood were independent prognostic risk factors. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model with stool occult blood, length- or height-for-age Z-score, medical history of sepsis, and cord blood total nucleated cells showed good discrimination ability, with a bootstrap concordance index of 0.767-0.775 in predicting OS.
Better inflammation control before transplantation and higher cord blood total nucleated cell levels can improve patient prognosis. The nomogram can successfully predict OS in patients with IL-10R deficiency undergoing UCBT.
白细胞介素-10 受体(IL-10R)缺陷可导致危及生命的早发性炎症性肠病(VEO-IBD)。脐带血移植(UCBT)是治疗 IL-10R 缺陷患者的一种根治性疗法。本研究旨在探讨 UCBT 治疗 IL-10R 缺陷的疗效,并基于移植前因素建立预测模型。
回顾性分析 2015 年 7 月至 2023 年 4 月间接受 UCBT 的 80 例 IL-10R 缺陷患者。采用 Cox 比例风险回归和随机生存森林建立预测模型。
中位移植年龄为 13.0 个月(四分位距 [IQR],8.8-25.3 个月)。中位随访时间为 29.4 个月(IQR,3.2-57.1 个月),总生存率(OS)为 65.0%(95%置信区间 [CI],55.3%-76.3%)。植活率为 85%(95%CI,77%-93%)。急性和慢性移植物抗宿主病的累积发生率分别为 48.2%(95%CI,37.1%-59.4%)和 12.2%(95%CI,4.7%-19.8%)。所有幸存者的 VEO-IBD 相关临床症状均得到缓解。多因素分析显示,IL-6 和粪便潜血是独立的预后危险因素。具有粪便潜血、身长或身高 Z 评分、败血症病史和脐血总核细胞的多变量 Cox 比例风险回归模型具有良好的区分能力,在预测 OS 方面的 Bootstrap 一致性指数为 0.767-0.775。
移植前更好的炎症控制和更高的脐血总核细胞水平可以改善患者的预后。该列线图可以成功预测接受 UCBT 的 IL-10R 缺陷患者的 OS。