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分析 2019 冠状病毒病患者死亡率的年龄特异性预测因素。

Analysis of Age-Specific Predictors of Mortality in Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019.

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Haseki Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.

Department of Emergency Medicine, Istanbul Beylikdüzü State Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.

出版信息

Niger J Clin Pract. 2024 Feb 1;27(2):244-251. doi: 10.4103/njcp.njcp_507_23. Epub 2024 Feb 26.

DOI:10.4103/njcp.njcp_507_23
PMID:38409154
Abstract

AIM

We investigated predictors of mortality, including demographic, clinical, and laboratory parameters, in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective, single-center study included 651 consecutive Turkish adults who had been admitted to the emergency department with a diagnosis of COVID-19. We recorded the demographic, clinical, and laboratory parameters of the patients. The patients were divided into two groups: patients aged ≥65 years and patients aged <65 years. The predictors of mortality for hospitalized COVID-19 patients were evaluated.

RESULTS

The study included 651 patients (354 [54.4%] men and 297 [45.6%] women; mean age, 56.40 ± 15.70 years). The most common comorbidities were hypertension (37.6%), diabetes mellitus (28.9%), and coronary artery disease (CAD) (16.1%). The overall mortality rate was 10.6% (n = 69); the mortality rate was higher in men than in women. Advanced age; chronic renal failure (CRF); prolonged activated partial thromboplastin time; high serum neutrophil and platelet counts; high C-reactive protein to albumin (CRP/albumin) ratio; and high levels of albumin, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and high-sensitivity troponin I (TnI-hs) were independent predictors of mortality in all age groups.

CONCLUSION

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), high serum platelet count, high CRP/albumin ratio, and high levels of albumin, TnI-hs, and D-dimer were independent predictors of mortality in patients aged <65 years. Conversely, advanced age, CAD, CRF, and high levels of serum CRP and LDH were independent predictors of mortality in patients aged ≥65 years.

摘要

目的

我们研究了包括人口统计学、临床和实验室参数在内的预测因素,以了解住院的 2019 冠状病毒病(COVID-19)肺炎患者的死亡率。

方法

这是一项回顾性、单中心研究,纳入了 651 名连续就诊于急诊科并被诊断为 COVID-19 的土耳其成年人。我们记录了患者的人口统计学、临床和实验室参数。将患者分为两组:年龄≥65 岁的患者和年龄<65 岁的患者。评估了住院 COVID-19 患者的死亡率预测因素。

结果

本研究纳入了 651 名患者(354 名男性[54.4%]和 297 名女性[45.6%];平均年龄 56.40±15.70 岁)。最常见的合并症是高血压(37.6%)、糖尿病(28.9%)和冠状动脉疾病(CAD)(16.1%)。总的死亡率为 10.6%(n=69);男性的死亡率高于女性。高龄;慢性肾衰竭(CRF);延长的活化部分凝血活酶时间;高血清中性粒细胞和血小板计数;高 C 反应蛋白与白蛋白比值(CRP/albumin);以及高白蛋白、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)和高敏肌钙蛋白 I(TnI-hs)水平是所有年龄段患者死亡的独立预测因素。

结论

多变量逻辑回归分析显示,慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)、高血清血小板计数、高 CRP/albumin 比值以及高白蛋白、TnI-hs 和 D-二聚体水平是年龄<65 岁患者死亡的独立预测因素。相反,高龄、CAD、CRF 以及高血清 CRP 和 LDH 水平是年龄≥65 岁患者死亡的独立预测因素。

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