Wu Aimin, Elahi Ehsan, Cao Fengtong, Yusuf Mohammad, Abro Mohammad Ilyas
School of Economics, Shandong University of Technology (SDUT), Zibo, 255049, Shandong, People's Republic of China.
Clean Energy Technologies Research Institute (CETRI), Process Systems Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Applied Science, University of Regina, Regina, SK, 3737 Wascana Parkway, S4S 0A2, Canada.
Heliyon. 2024 Feb 21;10(5):e26755. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26755. eCollection 2024 Mar 15.
The main aim of this study is to examine the evolving landscape of agricultural socialized services and their impact on the consistent growth of grain production in China. Using panel data from 2007 to 2020, we employ the Entropy Method to gauge the dynamic changes in agricultural socialized services that have contributed to the steady increase in grain production. The research methods include static panel, mediator, and threshold regression models to investigate the effects and mechanisms underpinning the improvement of agricultural socialized services on grain production growth. The empirical findings demonstrate a significantly positive correlation between enhanced agricultural socialized services, such as means of production services, sci-tech information services, and social public services, and increased grain production. This positive impact persists even with limited grain production resources. A mediating effect was identified, whereby agricultural socialized services indirectly stimulate grain production growth by encouraging large-scale agricultural land management. Furthermore, threshold analysis indicates the presence of a single threshold effect linked to the level of agricultural socialization services. This threshold effect plays a pivotal role in the relationship between large-scale agricultural management and steady grain production growth. The study suggests an enhancement of agricultural socialized services can promote sustained growth in grain production.
本研究的主要目的是考察中国农业社会化服务的发展态势及其对粮食生产持续增长的影响。利用2007年至2020年的面板数据，我们采用熵值法来衡量农业社会化服务的动态变化，这些变化推动了粮食产量的稳步增长。研究方法包括静态面板、中介效应和门槛回归模型，以探究农业社会化服务改善对粮食生产增长的影响及作用机制。实证结果表明，生产资料服务、科技信息服务和社会公共服务等农业社会化服务的增强与粮食产量增加之间存在显著正相关。即便粮食生产资源有限，这种积极影响依然存在。研究还发现了中介效应，即农业社会化服务通过鼓励大规模农地经营间接刺激粮食生产增长。此外，门槛分析表明，农业社会化服务水平存在单一门槛效应。这种门槛效应在大规模农业经营与粮食生产稳步增长的关系中起着关键作用。研究表明，加强农业社会化服务可促进粮食生产持续增长。
