Salvi Kaustubh Anil, Kumar Mukesh
Department of Civil Construction & Environmental Engineering, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, USA.
Nat Commun. 2024 Mar 15;15(1):2348. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-46699-6.
Urbanization can alter the local climate through modifications in land-atmosphere feedback. However, a continental scale evaluation of its influence on precipitation phase remains unknown. Here, we assess the difference in the likelihood of snow dominated events (SDEs) over 7,415 urban and surrounding non-urban (buffer) regions across the continental United States. Among 4,856 urban-buffer pairs that received at least five SDEs per year, 81% of urban regions are characterized by a smaller snow probability, 99% by a lower frequency of SDEs, and 57% by faster declining trends in SDEs compared to their buffer counterparts. Notably, urban (buffer) regions with lower snow probability are often characterized by higher net incoming and sensible energy fluxes as compared to buffer (urban) regions, thus highlighting the influence of land-energy feedback on precipitation phase. Results highlight a clear imprint of urbanization on precipitation phase and underscore the need to consider these influences while projecting hydro-meteorological risks.
城市化可通过改变陆-气反馈来影响当地气候。然而,其对降水相态影响的大陆尺度评估尚不清楚。在此,我们评估了美国大陆7415个城市及周边非城市(缓冲区)区域以降雪为主事件(SDEs)发生可能性的差异。在每年至少经历5次SDEs的4856对城市-缓冲区中,与缓冲区相比,81%的城市区域降雪概率较小,99%的城市区域SDEs频率较低,57%的城市区域SDEs下降趋势更快。值得注意的是,与缓冲区(城市)区域相比,降雪概率较低的城市(缓冲区)区域通常具有更高的净入射能量通量和感热通量,从而突出了陆-能反馈对降水相态的影响。结果凸显了城市化对降水相态的明显影响,并强调在预测水文气象风险时需要考虑这些影响。