Huo Congjia, Chen Lingming
Department of Economics, Business School (School of Quality Management and Standardization), Foshan University, Foshan, 528225, Guangdong, China.
Research Centre for Innovation & Economic Transformation, Foshan University, Foshan, Guangdong, China.
Sci Rep. 2024 Mar 25;14(1):7064. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-57284-8.
At present, China's agricultural development presents problems such as increasingly tight constraints on water and soil resources, increased pollution in the process of agricultural production, and noticeable degradation of agricultural ecosystems. So, it is urgent to promote the sustainable development of agriculture. From the perspective of land transfer policy, based on the panel data of 30 regions in China from 2006 to 2020, this paper uses the entropy weight method to calculate the level of sustainable agricultural development. Based on the analysis of the impact mechanism of land transfer policy on sustainable agricultural development, the relationship between land transfer policy and sustainable agricultural development is empirically tested by the continuous difference-in-difference method. The study found that the overall level of sustainable agricultural development in China is relatively low but shows an upward trend. The land transfer policy significantly promoted the sustainable development of agriculture in China. This conclusion is still valid after a series of validity tests and robustness tests. Finally, the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward according to the theoretical analysis and empirical results. Future research will focus on indicators challenging to quantify in agricultural sustainable development and find effective methods to incorporate them into the indicator system. At the same time, find the data of Prefecture-level cities in major grain-producing areas and further improve the measurement and research of agricultural sustainable development.
当前,中国农业发展面临着水土资源约束日益趋紧、农业生产过程中污染加重、农业生态系统退化明显等问题。因此,推动农业可持续发展迫在眉睫。从土地流转政策视角出发,基于2006—2020年中国30个地区的面板数据,本文运用熵权法测算农业可持续发展水平。在分析土地流转政策对农业可持续发展影响机制的基础上,采用双重差分法实证检验土地流转政策与农业可持续发展之间的关系。研究发现,中国农业可持续发展整体水平较低但呈上升趋势。土地流转政策显著促进了中国农业的可持续发展。经过一系列的有效性检验和稳健性检验后,这一结论仍然成立。最后,根据理论分析和实证结果提出了相应的政策建议。未来研究将聚焦于农业可持续发展中难以量化的指标,寻找将其纳入指标体系的有效方法。同时,获取主要粮食产区地级市的数据,进一步完善农业可持续发展的测度与研究。