Prognostic factors for resected cases with gallbladder carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE

Current meta-analysis was performed to systematically evaluate the potential prognostic factors for overall survival among resected cases with gallbladder carcinoma.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library were systematically retrieved and hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval were directly extracted from the original study or roughly estimated via Tierney's method. Standard Parmar modifications were used to determine pooled HRs.

RESULTS

A total of 36 studies with 11 502 cases were identified. Pooled results of univariate analyses indicated that advanced age (HR=1.02, P =0.00020), concurrent gallstone disease (HR=1.22, P =0.00200), elevated preoperative CA199 level (HR=1.93, P <0.00001), advanced T stage (HR=3.09, P <0.00001), lymph node metastasis (HR=2.78, P <0.00001), peri-neural invasion (HR=2.20, P <0.00001), lymph-vascular invasion (HR=2.37, P <0.00001), vascular invasion (HR=2.28, P <0.00001), poorly differentiated tumor (HR=3.22, P <0.00001), hepatic side tumor (HR=1.85, P <0.00001), proximal tumor (neck/cystic duct) (HR=1.78, P <0.00001), combined bile duct resection (HR=1.45, P <0.00001), and positive surgical margin (HR=2.90, P <0.00001) were well-established prognostic factors. Pathological subtypes ( P =0.53000) and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy ( P =0.70000) were not prognostic factors. Pooled results of multivariate analyses indicated that age, gallstone disease, preoperative CA199, T stage, lymph node metastasis, peri-neural invasion, lymph-vascular invasion, tumor differentiation status, tumor location (peritoneal side vs hepatic side), surgical margin, combined bile duct resection, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

Various prognostic factors have been identified beyond the 8th AJCC staging system. By incorporating these factors into a prognostic model, a more individualized prognostication and treatment regime would be developed. Upcoming multinational studies are required for the further refine and validation.