Mostafavi Maryam, Razeghinejad Mohammed Hossein, Shahi Saied, Mortezapoor Elham, Alizadeh Ahad, Bardal Roghieh
Urmia University of Medical Sciences Faculty of Dentistry, Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Radiology, Urmia, Iran.
Urmia University of Medical Sciences Faculty of Dentistry, Department of Orthodontics, Urmia, Iran.
Turk J Orthod. 2024 Mar 28;37(1):56-62. doi: 10.4274/TurkJOrthod.2023.2022.53.
This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of dental calcification stages in predicting the peak pubertal stage.
This retrospective study was conducted on panoramic and lateral cephalometric images of 406 female patients aged 9-14 years. The skeletal maturity and calcification stages of the mandibular canines, first premolars, second premolars, and second molars were determined using the Hassel-Farman and Demirjian (DI) methods, respectively. The prediction accuracy of the peak pubertal stage with the studied teeth was assessed using a receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under the curve (AUC). The DI stage of H was designated as the reference level, and Bayesian logistic regression analysis was used to assess the coinciding chance of each DI stage and peak pubertal stage.
The AUC range of studied teeth was 0.84-0.92 in predicting peak pubertal stage (all p<0.001). In the canines and first premolars, the coinciding chance of peak pubertal stage and stage H was significantly higher than that in other stages [p<0.05, odds ratio (OR) ≤0.14]. In the second premolars and second molars, the chance of peak pubertal stage coinciding with stages H and G did not significantly differ (p>0.05); however, the chance of stage G coinciding with peak pubertal stage in the second molars was higher than in stage H (OR=4.59).
Stage H in all studied teeth and stage G in the second premolars and second molars predict peak pubertal stage with high accuracy. Considering that stage H is the end of tooth calcification stages and the accuracy of predicting stage G of second molar teeth is higher than the above stage, estimating the peak pubertal stage is recommended by the second case.
本研究旨在评估牙齿钙化阶段预测青春期高峰期的准确性。
对406名9至14岁女性患者的全景和侧位头影测量图像进行回顾性研究。分别使用哈塞尔-法曼法和德米尔坚法(DI法)确定下颌尖牙、第一前磨牙、第二前磨牙和第二磨牙的骨骼成熟度和钙化阶段。使用受试者工作特征曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)评估所研究牙齿对青春期高峰期的预测准确性。将DI的H期指定为参考水平,并使用贝叶斯逻辑回归分析评估每个DI阶段与青春期高峰期的符合概率。
所研究牙齿预测青春期高峰期的AUC范围为0.84至0.92(所有p<0.001)。在尖牙和第一前磨牙中,青春期高峰期与H期的符合概率显著高于其他阶段[p<0.05,优势比(OR)≤0.14]。在第二前磨牙和第二磨牙中,青春期高峰期与H期和G期的符合概率无显著差异(p>0.05);然而,第二磨牙中G期与青春期高峰期的符合概率高于H期(OR=4.59)。
所有研究牙齿的H期以及第二前磨牙和第二磨牙的G期对青春期高峰期具有较高的预测准确性。鉴于H期是牙齿钙化阶段的末期,且第二磨牙G期的预测准确性高于上述阶段,因此建议通过第二种情况来估计青春期高峰期。