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COVID-19 大流行早期对韩国急诊到重症监护病房入院的影响:一项中断时间序列分析。

Impact of the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic on emergency department-to-intensive care unit admissions in Korea: an interrupted time-series analysis.

机构信息

Public Health Research Institute, National Medical Center, 245 Eulgi-ro, Jung-gu, 04564, Seoul, Korea.

Department of Preventive Medicine, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, Daejeon, Korea.

出版信息

BMC Emerg Med. 2024 Apr 1;24(1):51. doi: 10.1186/s12873-024-00968-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in significant disruptions to critical care systems globally. However, research on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on intensive care unit (ICU) admissions via the emergency department (ED) is limited. Therefore, this study evaluated the changes in the number of ED-to-ICU admissions and clinical outcomes in the periods before and during the pandemic.

METHODS

We identified all adult patients admitted to the ICU through level 1 or 2 EDs in Korea between February 2018 and January 2021. February 2020 was considered the onset point of the COVID-19 pandemic. The monthly changes in the number of ED-to-ICU admissions and the in-hospital mortality rates before and during the COVID-19 pandemic were evaluated using interrupted time-series analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 555,793 adult ED-to-ICU admissions, the number of ED-to-ICU admissions during the pandemic decreased compared to that before the pandemic (step change, 0.916; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.869-0.966], although the trend did not attain statistical significance (slope change, 0.997; 95% CI 0.991-1.003). The proportion of patients who arrived by emergency medical services, those transferred from other hospitals, and those with injuries declined significantly among the number of ED-to-ICU admissions during the pandemic. The proportion of in-hospital deaths significantly increased during the pandemic (step change, 1.054; 95% CI 1.003-1.108); however, the trend did not attain statistical significance (slope change, 1.001; 95% CI 0.996-1.007). Mortality rates in patients with an ED length of stay of ≥ 6 h until admission to the ICU rose abruptly following the onset of the pandemic (step change, 1.169; 95% CI 1.021-1.339).

CONCLUSIONS

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected ED-to-ICU admission and in-hospital mortality rates in Korea. This study's findings have important implications for healthcare providers and policymakers planning the management of future outbreaks of infectious diseases. Strategies are needed to address the challenges posed by pandemics and improve the outcomes in critically ill patients.

摘要

背景

2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行导致全球重症监护系统严重中断。然而,关于 COVID-19 大流行对通过急诊部(ED)进入重症监护病房(ICU)的患者的影响的研究有限。因此,本研究评估了大流行前后 ICU 入院人数和临床结果的变化。

方法

我们在韩国确定了 2018 年 2 月至 2021 年 1 月期间通过 1 级或 2 级 ED 进入 ICU 的所有成年患者。2020 年 2 月被认为是 COVID-19 大流行的开始时间。使用中断时间序列分析评估大流行前后 ICU 入院人数和院内死亡率的月度变化。

结果

在 555793 例成年 ED 至 ICU 入院中,大流行期间的 ICU 入院人数与大流行前相比有所减少(阶跃变化,0.916;95%置信区间 [CI] 0.869-0.966),尽管趋势没有达到统计学意义(斜率变化,0.997;95%CI 0.991-1.003)。在大流行期间的 ED 至 ICU 入院人数中,通过紧急医疗服务到达的患者、从其他医院转来的患者和受伤的患者比例显著下降。大流行期间,院内死亡率显著增加(阶跃变化,1.054;95%CI 1.003-1.108);然而,趋势没有达到统计学意义(斜率变化,1.001;95%CI 0.996-1.007)。大流行开始后,急诊停留时间≥6 小时直至 ICU 入院的患者的死亡率急剧上升(阶跃变化,1.169;95%CI 1.021-1.339)。

结论

COVID-19 大流行对韩国的 ED 至 ICU 入院和院内死亡率产生了重大影响。本研究结果对计划管理未来传染病爆发的医疗保健提供者和政策制定者具有重要意义。需要采取策略来应对大流行带来的挑战,并改善危重症患者的预后。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5402/10985913/aaa139a4aa53/12873_2024_968_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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