Ferrer-Marquez Fernando A, Astudillo Rocío P, Carvajal Jorge A
Unidad de Medicina Materno Fetal, Departamento de Obstetricia, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
AJOG Glob Rep. 2024 Mar 30;4(2):100345. doi: 10.1016/j.xagr.2024.100345. eCollection 2024 May.
Preterm birth accounts for 60% to 80% of neonatal mortality. Approximately one-third of preterm births are caused by the spontaneous onset of preterm labor. Nevertheless, 70% to 90% of women diagnosed with preterm labor will not deliver within 7 days. Thus, many women will be unnecessarily treated by preterm labor with risk medications. Better tools are needed to categorize women in preterm labor into high or low risk of preterm delivery.
This study aimed to evaluate the amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentration in the amniotic fluid as a prognostic test to predict the risk of delivery within 48 hours or 7 days and before 34 0/7 or 37 0/7 weeks of gestation in women in preterm labor.
A total of 102 pregnant women presenting signs and symptoms of spontaneous preterm birth (22 0/7 to 34 0/7 weeks of gestation) were included. Amniotic fluid was obtained by amniocentesis, and amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentration was measured. Below normal concentration was defined as <0.5 multiples of the median of the standard curve according to gestational age. The risk of preterm delivery was estimated according to normal or lower-than-normal amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentrations. The predictive capacity of the test (below normal amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentration) was evaluated to identify spontaneous preterm birth at 48 hours or 7 days from amniocentesis and less than 34 0/7 or 37 0/7 weeks at delivery.
For the outcome delivery within 48 hours, lower-than-normal amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentration had 94.6% sensitivity, 73.8% specificity, 96.0% negative predictive value, 3.61 positive likelihood ratio, and 0.07 negative likelihood ratio. For the outcome delivery within 7 days, the test had 93.9% sensitivity, 88.7% specificity, 94.0% negative predictive value, 8.31 positive likelihood ratio, and 0.07 negative likelihood ratio. For the outcomes of spontaneous preterm birth before 34 0/7 and 37 0/7 weeks of gestation, below normal amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentrations had 80.0% sensitivity, 83.0% specificity, 78.0% negative predictive value, 4.70 positive likelihood ratio, and 0.24 negative likelihood ratio and 64.1% sensitivity, 91.7% specificity, 44.0% negative predictive value, 7.70 positive likelihood ratio, and 0.39 negative likelihood ratio, respectively.
Among patients in spontaneous preterm labor, the detection of lower-than-normal amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentrations (<0.5 multiples of the median) in amniotic fluid has an excellent predictive capacity to identify those patients at low risk of preterm delivery within 48 hours or 7 days.
早产占新生儿死亡的60%至80%。约三分之一的早产是由早产的自然发作引起的。然而,70%至90%被诊断为早产的女性在7天内不会分娩。因此,许多女性会接受不必要的早产风险药物治疗。需要更好的工具来将早产女性分为早产风险高或低的类别。
本研究旨在评估羊水中心钠素原氨基末端前体肽浓度作为一种预后检测指标,以预测早产女性在48小时或7天内以及妊娠34 0/7或37 0/7周之前分娩的风险。
共纳入102例出现自然早产体征和症状(妊娠22 0/7至34 0/7周)的孕妇。通过羊膜穿刺术获取羊水,并测量心钠素原氨基末端前体肽浓度。根据胎龄,低于正常浓度定义为<标准曲线中位数的0.5倍。根据心钠素原氨基末端前体肽浓度正常或低于正常来估计早产风险。评估该检测(心钠素原氨基末端前体肽浓度低于正常)的预测能力,以识别羊膜穿刺术后48小时或7天内以及分娩时小于34 0/7或37 0/7周的自然早产情况。
对于48小时内分娩的结局,心钠素原氨基末端前体肽浓度低于正常具有94.6%的敏感性、73.8%的特异性、96.0%的阴性预测值、3.6:1的阳性似然比和0.07的阴性似然比。对于7天内分娩的结局,该检测具有93.9%的敏感性、88.7%的特异性、94.0%的阴性预测值、8.3:1的阳性似然比和0.07的阴性似然比。对于妊娠34 0/7和37 0/7周之前自然早产的结局,心钠素原氨基末端前体肽浓度低于正常分别具有80.0%的敏感性、83.0%的特异性、78.0%的阴性预测值、4.7:1的阳性似然比和0.24的阴性似然比,以及64.1%的敏感性、91.7%的特异性、44.0%的阴性预测值、7.7:1的阳性似然比和0.39的阴性似然比。
在自然早产的患者中,检测羊水中低于正常的心钠素原氨基末端前体肽浓度(<中位数的0.5倍)具有出色的预测能力,可识别出在48小时或7天内早产风险低的患者。