Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Hepatitis Research Center, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
J Med Virol. 2024 May;96(5):e29675. doi: 10.1002/jmv.29675.
Early confirmation of sustained virologic response (SVR) or viral relapse after direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is essential based on public health perspectives, particularly for patients with high risk of nonadherence to posttreatment follow-ups. A total of 1011 patients who achieved end-of-treatment virologic response, including 526 receiving fixed-dose pangenotypic DAAs, and 485 receiving other types of DAAs, who had available off-treatment weeks 4 and 12 serum HCV RNA data to confirm SVR at off-treatment week 12 (SVR) or viral relapse were included. The positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of SVR to predict patients with SVR or viral relapse were reported. Furthermore, we analyzed the proportion of concordance between SVR and SVR in 943 patients with available SVR data. The PPV and NPV of SVR to predict SVR were 98.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 98.0-98.9) and 100% (95% CI: 66.4-100) in the entire population. The PPV of SVR to predict SVR in patients receiving fixed-dose pangenotypic DAAs was higher than those receiving other types of DAAs (99.8% [95% CI: 98.9-100] vs. 97.1% [95% CI: 96.2-97.8], p < 0.001). The NPVs of SVR to predict viral relapse were 100%, regardless of the type of DAAs. Moreover, the concordance between SVR and SVR was 100%. In conclusion, an off-treatment week 4 serum HCV RNA testing is sufficient to provide an excellent prediction power of SVR or viral relapse at off-treatment week 12 among patients with HCV who are treated with fixed-dose pangenotypic DAAs.
基于公共卫生的角度,对于那些对治疗后随访的依从性较差的高风险患者,在感染丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)后直接作用抗病毒药物(DAA)治疗的早期,确认持续病毒学应答(SVR)或病毒复发至关重要。本研究共纳入 1011 例在治疗结束时达到病毒学应答的患者,其中 526 例接受固定剂量泛基因型 DAA 治疗,485 例接受其他类型 DAA 治疗,这些患者在治疗结束时的第 4 周和第 12 周有血清 HCV RNA 数据,以确认在治疗结束时的第 12 周(SVR)或病毒复发(SVR)。报道了 SVR 对预测患者 SVR 或病毒复发的阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV)。此外,我们分析了在 943 例具有可用 SVR 数据的患者中 SVR 与 SVR 的一致性比例。在整个人群中,SVR 预测 SVR 的 PPV 和 NPV 分别为 98.5%(95%置信区间[CI]:98.0-98.9)和 100%(95%CI:66.4-100)。在接受固定剂量泛基因型 DAA 治疗的患者中,SVR 预测 SVR 的 PPV 高于接受其他类型 DAA 治疗的患者(99.8%[95%CI:98.9-100]与 97.1%[95%CI:96.2-97.8],P<0.001)。SVR 预测病毒复发的 NPV 均为 100%,与 DAA 的类型无关。此外,SVR 与 SVR 的一致性为 100%。总之,对于接受固定剂量泛基因型 DAA 治疗的 HCV 患者,在治疗结束时的第 4 周进行血清 HCV RNA 检测足以提供治疗结束时的第 12 周 SVR 或病毒复发的极好预测能力。