Li Jun, Liu Ze, Wang Pai, Yang Rui, Shi Feng-Ming, Deng Jie, Wang Guo-Yan, Shi Song-Lin
College of Geography and Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China.
Research Center for Human Geography of Tibetan Plateau and Its Eastern Slope, Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of Colleges in Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610059, China.
Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2024 May;35(5):1205-1213. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.002.
Global warming would significantly impact tree growth in the Tibetan Plateau. However, the specific effects of climate change on the radial growth of in Mount Qomolangma are still uncertain. To investigate the responses of radial growth of to climate change, we analyzed tree-ring samples in Mount Qomolangma. We removed the age-related growth trends and established three chronologies by using the modified negative exponential curve, basal area index, and regional curve standardization, and conducted Pearson correlation and moving correlation analyses to examine the association between radial growth of and climatic factors. The results showed that this region had experienced a significant upward trend in temperature and that the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) indicated a decreasing trend since 1980s, while the relative humi-dity changed from a significant upward to a downward trend around 2004, implying the climate shifted toward warmer and drier. Results of Pearson correlation analysis indicated a significant and positive relationship between the radial growth of and the minimum temperature of April-June and July-September, and precipitation of January-April in the current year. The radial growth of was significantly and negatively associated with the relative humidity of June, July, and August in the current year. As temperature rose after 1983, the relationship between radial growth of and the minimum temperature in July and September of the current year increased from a non-significant association to a significant and positive association, while the relationship between radial growth of and relative humidity in August and precipitation in September of the current year changed from non-significant correlation to a significant and negative correlation. Results of the moving correlation analysis suggested that the radial growth of showed a significant and stable correlation with the July-September minimum temperature of the current year. Under the background of climate warming, the rapid increases of temperature would accelerate the radial growth of in Mount Qomolangma.
全球变暖将对青藏高原的树木生长产生重大影响。然而,气候变化对珠穆朗玛峰地区树木径向生长的具体影响仍不确定。为了研究树木径向生长对气候变化的响应,我们分析了珠穆朗玛峰的树轮样本。我们去除了与年龄相关的生长趋势,并使用修正的负指数曲线、断面积指数和区域曲线标准化方法建立了三个年表,并进行了Pearson相关性分析和滑动相关性分析,以检验树木径向生长与气候因子之间的关联。结果表明,该地区气温呈显著上升趋势,自20世纪80年代以来帕尔默干旱严重度指数(PDSI)呈下降趋势,而相对湿度在2004年左右从显著上升趋势转变为下降趋势,这意味着气候正朝着暖干化转变。Pearson相关性分析结果表明,树木径向生长与当年4 - 6月、7 - 9月的最低气温以及1 - 4月的降水量之间存在显著正相关。树木径向生长与当年6月、7月和8月的相对湿度呈显著负相关。1983年后随着气温上升,树木径向生长与当年7月和9月最低气温之间的关系从无显著关联增加到显著正相关,而树木径向生长与当年8月相对湿度和9月降水量之间的关系从无显著相关性转变为显著负相关。滑动相关性分析结果表明,树木径向生长与当年7 - 9月最低气温呈显著且稳定的相关性。在气候变暖背景下,气温的快速上升将加速珠穆朗玛峰地区树木的径向生长。