External validation of the ability of the mRENAL nephrometry score to identify patients at risk for major adverse events or local tumor recurrence after percutaneous renal cryoablation.

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the ability of the mRENAL score to identify patients at risk of either major adverse events (AEs) and/or local tumor recurrence (LR) after percutaneous cryoablation (PCA) in an external patient population.

METHODS

Patient demographic data were recorded. The RENAL and mRENAL nephrometry scores were calculated. Clinical outcomes such as AEs, LR, cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS) were collected. AEs were classified according to SIR criteria. Continuous variables and categorical variables were analyzed using the Wilcoxon rank sum test and chi-square test, respectively. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify variables associated with major AEs or LR.

RESULTS

The study included 207 patients (Males: n = 117 (56.5%)) with a mean age of 65.8 (± 11.2) years (range:27-90). Overall, the mean tumor diameter, RENAL score, and mean mRENAL score were 30.1 mm (± 11.4), 6.3 (± 1.7), and 6.8 (± 1.9), respectively. 14 patients (6.8%) and 13 patients (6.3%) experienced a major AE or LR after PCA, respectively. CSS and OS were 98.6% and 90.3%, respectively. For patients with major AEs after PCA, the mean tumor diameter (p < 0.0001), mean RENAL score (p = 0.03), and mean mRENAL score (p = 0.009) were all higher than those for patients without a major AE. Multi-variate regression analysis showed that only mean tumor diameter (p = 0.005) was predictive of a major AE. There were no statistically significant differences between patients with LR and patients without LR after PCA with regards to tumor size (p = 0.07), mean RENAL score (p = 0.32), or mean mRENAL score (p = 0.07). Multi-variate regression analysis showed that only mean tumor diameter (p = 0.01) was predictive of LR.

CONCLUSION

The mRENAL score did not accurately identify patients at risk for either major AEs or LR. Maximum tumor diameter alone was predictive of both major AEs and LR, and should be the primary focus during patient selection.