Department of Respiratory Medicine, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, 218 Ziqiang Street, Changchun, 130041, China.
J Health Popul Nutr. 2024 Aug 16;43(1):124. doi: 10.1186/s41043-024-00620-5.
PURPOSE: In the past few years, there has been a notable rise in the incidence and prevalence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) on a global scale. A considerable body of research has highlighted the 'obesity paradox,' suggesting that a higher body mass index (BMI) can confer a protective effect against numerous chronic diseases. However, the relationship between BMI and the risk of mortality in IPF patients remains underexplored in the existing literature. We aim to shed light on this relationship and potentially offer novel insights into prevention strategies for IPF. METHODS: We conducted a systematic search of the PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases to collect all published studies examining the correlation between Body Mass Index (BMI) and the mortality risk in patients with IPF, up until February 14, 2023. For the synthesis of the findings, we employed random-effects models. The statistical significance of the association between BMI and the mortality risk in IPF patients was evaluated using the hazard ratio (HR), with the 95% Confidence Interval (CI) serving as the metric for effect size. RESULTS: A total of 14 data sets involving 2080 patients with IPF were included in the meta-analysis. The combined results of the random-effects models were suggestive of a significant association between lower BMI and a higher risk of death (HR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.91-0.97, P < 0.001). For baseline BMI, the risk of death from IPF decreased by 6% for each unit increase. The results of the subgroup analysis suggest that geographic location (Asian subgroup: HR = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.93-0.98, P = 0.001; Western subgroup: HR = 0.91, 95%CI = 0.84-0.98, P = 0.014), study type (RCS subgroup: HR = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.92-0.98, P = 0.004; PCS subgroup: HR = 0.89, 95%CI = 0.84-0.94, P < 0.001), and sample size (< 100 groups: HR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.87-1.01, P = 0.079; >100 groups: HR = 0.94, 95%CI = 0.91-0.97, P < 0.001 ) were not significant influences on heterogeneity. Of the included literature, those with confounding factors corrected and high NOS scores reduced heterogeneity (HR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.90-0.96, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses showed that the combined results were stable and not significantly altered by individual studies (HR = 0.93 to 0.95, 95% CI = 0.90-0.96 to 0.92-0.98). Egger's test suggested no significant publication bias in the included studies (P = 0.159). CONCLUSIONS: Higher BMI (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2) is negatively correlated to some extent with the risk of death in IPF patients, and BMI may become a clinical indicator for determining the prognosis of IPF patients.
目的:在过去的几年中,全球范围内特发性肺纤维化(IPF)的发病率和患病率显著上升。大量研究强调了“肥胖悖论”,即较高的体重指数(BMI)可能对许多慢性疾病有保护作用。然而,BMI 与 IPF 患者死亡风险之间的关系在现有文献中仍未得到充分探讨。我们旨在阐明这种关系,并为 IPF 的预防策略提供新的见解。
方法:我们系统地检索了 PubMed、Embase 和 Web of Science 数据库,以收集截至 2023 年 2 月 14 日所有关于 BMI 与 IPF 患者死亡率相关性的已发表研究。对于研究结果的综合,我们采用了随机效应模型。使用风险比(HR)评估 BMI 与 IPF 患者死亡风险之间的关联的统计学显著性,95%置信区间(CI)作为效应量的度量。
结果:共纳入了 14 项涉及 2080 例 IPF 患者的数据集进行荟萃分析。随机效应模型的综合结果表明,较低的 BMI 与较高的死亡风险之间存在显著关联(HR=0.94,95%CI=0.91-0.97,P<0.001)。对于基线 BMI,每增加一个单位,IPF 死亡的风险就会增加 6%。亚组分析的结果表明,地理位置(亚洲亚组:HR=0.95,95%CI=0.93-0.98,P=0.001;西方亚组:HR=0.91,95%CI=0.84-0.98,P=0.014)、研究类型(RCS 亚组:HR=0.95,95%CI=0.92-0.98,P=0.004;PCS 亚组:HR=0.89,95%CI=0.84-0.94,P<0.001)和样本量(<100 组:HR=0.93,95%CI=0.87-1.01,P=0.079;>100 组:HR=0.94,95%CI=0.91-0.97,P<0.001)对异质性没有显著影响。纳入的文献中,那些校正了混杂因素和具有较高 NOS 评分的文献降低了异质性(HR=0.93,95%CI=0.90-0.96,P<0.001)。敏感性分析表明,综合结果稳定,不受单个研究的显著影响(HR=0.93 至 0.95,95%CI=0.90-0.96 至 0.92-0.98)。Egger 检验表明纳入的研究中不存在显著的发表偏倚(P=0.159)。
结论:较高的 BMI(BMI≥25kg/m2)与 IPF 患者的死亡风险在某种程度上呈负相关,BMI 可能成为判断 IPF 患者预后的临床指标。
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