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1999 - 2018年美国糖尿病前期的患病率、趋势及后续转归情况

Prevalence, Trends, and Subsequent Outcomes of Prediabetes in the United States, 1999-2018.

作者信息

Fan Jiaqi, Yao Mengyun, Ma Yuan

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, PR China; Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.

Department of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, PR China.

出版信息

Endocr Pract. 2024 Dec;30(12):1126-1133. doi: 10.1016/j.eprac.2024.09.008. Epub 2024 Sep 19.


DOI:10.1016/j.eprac.2024.09.008
PMID:39299610
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To determine prevalence, trends, and subsequent outcomes of prediabetes defined by American Diabetes Association (ADA), World Health Organization (WHO), and International Expert Committee (IEC) criteria in the United States between 1999 and 2018. METHODS: Ten cycles of cross-sectional National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data were included. Prediabetes was defined by ADA, WHO, and IEC criteria. Unadjusted or covariate adjusted prevalence and trends of prediabetes were estimated. Cox proportional regression model was performed to evaluate the association between prediabetes and all-cause, cardiovascular, or diabetes-related mortality. RESULTS: Among the 59 369 participants included (weighted mean age, 41.1 years; 48.7% male), the prevalence of prediabetes was 29.4% in ADA criteria, 16.3% in WHO criteria, and 5.0% in IEC criteria. The covariate adjusted prevalence of prediabetes defined by ADA criteria increased significantly in at least twofolds from 15.6% in 1999-2002 to 37.3% in 2015-2018 (P < .001). Similar significant increased trends were observed in WHO and IEC criteria (P < .001). Compared with normal glycemia, prediabetes participants had higher adjusted risk of diabetes-related mortality irrespective of the criteria used (ADA: hazard ratio [HR] 9.11 [95% CI, 5.83-14.22]; WHO: HR 5.35 [95% CI, 3.01-9.51]; IEC: HR 9.64 [95% CI, 5.92-15.71]). No significant associations between prediabetes and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality were observed in the adjusted models. CONCLUSION: In the United States, approximately 1 in 3 individuals have prediabetes according to ADA criteria. The prevalence of prediabetes has shown a significant and more than twofold increase over the past 2 decades, posing an elevated risk of diabetes-related mortality, regardless of the criteria applied.

摘要

目的:确定1999年至2018年期间,根据美国糖尿病协会(ADA)、世界卫生组织(WHO)和国际专家委员会(IEC)标准定义的美国糖尿病前期的患病率、趋势及后续结局。 方法:纳入十轮横断面国家健康与营养检查调查数据。糖尿病前期根据ADA、WHO和IEC标准进行定义。估计未调整或经协变量调整的糖尿病前期患病率及趋势。采用Cox比例回归模型评估糖尿病前期与全因、心血管或糖尿病相关死亡率之间的关联。 结果:在纳入的59369名参与者中(加权平均年龄41.1岁;48.7%为男性),根据ADA标准,糖尿病前期患病率为29.4%,根据WHO标准为16.3%,根据IEC标准为5.0%。经协变量调整后,根据ADA标准定义的糖尿病前期患病率从1999 - 2002年的15.6%显著增加至少两倍,至2015 - 2018年达到37.3%(P <.001)。在WHO和IEC标准中也观察到类似的显著上升趋势(P <.001)。与血糖正常者相比,无论使用何种标准,糖尿病前期参与者的糖尿病相关死亡调整风险均较高(ADA:风险比[HR] 9.11 [95%置信区间,5.83 - 14.22];WHO:HR 5.35 [95%置信区间,3.01 - 9.51];IEC:HR 9.64 [95%置信区间,5.92 - 15.71])。在调整模型中,未观察到糖尿病前期与全因或心血管死亡率之间存在显著关联。 结论:在美国,根据ADA标准,约三分之一的个体患有糖尿病前期。在过去20年中,糖尿病前期患病率显著增加且增加了两倍多,无论采用何种标准,均会增加糖尿病相关死亡风险。

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