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中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值对慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重住院患者不良结局的预测价值:一项回顾性研究。

Predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for adverse outcomes in hospitalized patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A retrospective study.

机构信息

Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Cho Ray Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

出版信息

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Sep 20;103(38):e39797. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000039797.

Abstract

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) stands as one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide. Acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) lead to rapid respiratory function decline and worsened disease status. Despite recent studies, the ability of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict outcomes in patients with COPD remains controversial. We investigated the predictive value of NLR for adverse outcomes in hospitalized patients with AECOPD. A retrospective study was conducted at the Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Cho Ray Hospital (Vietnam) from November 2019 to November 2021. The study extracted data from patients diagnosed with AECOPD at discharge and met the inclusion criteria. NLR is calculated by dividing the number of neutrophils by the number of lymphocytes in the peripheral blood test. Adverse outcomes are defined as invasive mechanical ventilation, admission to intensive care unit, or in-hospital mortality. Multivariable regression analysis was conducted to identify variables predicting adverse outcomes. The cutoff, sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve, and receiver operating characteristic of NLR were determined for predicting adverse outcomes. Two hundred eighty-seven patients with AECOPD were included in the final analysis, with a mean age of 70.9, and males comprising 92.7%. The rate of adverse outcomes was 15.7%. Multivariable logistic regression identified reduced consciousness at admission (adjusted odds ratio = 0.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.02-0.38, P = .001) and high NLR (adjusted odds ratio = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.10-1.24, P < .001) as predictors of adverse outcomes. The receiver operating characteristic of NLR's predictive value yielded an area under the curve of 0.877 (95% CI: 0.83-0.93). An NLR cutoff of 11.0 predicted adverse outcomes with a sensitivity of 80.0%, specificity of 77.7%, and an odds ratio of 13.9 (95% CI: 6.3-30.7), P < .001. NLR is a simple, routine, and cost-effective tool for predicting adverse outcomes in hospitalized patients with AECOPD. Future studies should evaluate the kinetics of NLR in predicting treatment response in patients with AECOPD.

摘要

慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)是全球主要死亡原因之一。COPD 急性加重(AECOPD)导致呼吸功能迅速下降和疾病状况恶化。尽管最近进行了研究,但中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)预测 COPD 患者结局的能力仍存在争议。我们研究了 NLR 对住院 AECOPD 患者不良结局的预测价值。这是一项在越南陈光凯医院呼吸科(Cho Ray Hospital)进行的回顾性研究,时间为 2019 年 11 月至 2021 年 11 月。该研究从出院时诊断为 AECOPD 且符合纳入标准的患者中提取数据。NLR 通过外周血检查中中性粒细胞数除以淋巴细胞数计算得出。不良结局定义为有创机械通气、入住重症监护病房或院内死亡。采用多变量回归分析确定预测不良结局的变量。确定 NLR 预测不良结局的截断值、敏感性、特异性、曲线下面积和受试者工作特征。最终分析纳入 287 例 AECOPD 患者,平均年龄为 70.9 岁,男性占 92.7%。不良结局发生率为 15.7%。多变量 logistic 回归分析发现入院时意识障碍(调整优势比=0.08,95%置信区间[CI]:0.02-0.38,P=0.001)和高 NLR(调整优势比=1.17,95%CI:1.10-1.24,P<.001)是不良结局的预测因素。NLR 预测价值的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为 0.877(95%CI:0.83-0.93)。NLR 截断值为 11.0 时,预测不良结局的敏感性为 80.0%,特异性为 77.7%,优势比为 13.9(95%CI:6.3-30.7),P<.001。NLR 是预测住院 AECOPD 患者不良结局的一种简单、常规且具有成本效益的工具。未来的研究应评估 NLR 预测 AECOPD 患者治疗反应的动力学。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5bd0/11419426/b63fae8167a0/medi-103-e39797-g001.jpg

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