BACKGROUND

Clinical efficacy of zilucoplan has been demonstrated in a 12-week, placebo-controlled, phase III study in patients with acetylcholine receptor autoantibody-positive generalised myasthenia gravis (gMG). However, placebo-controlled zilucoplan data past 12 weeks are not available.

OBJECTIVES

Predict the treatment effect of zilucoplan versus control (placebo or standard of care) in patients with gMG up to 24 weeks.

DESIGN

A model-informed analysis (MIA) within a Bayesian framework.

METHODS

Part 1 of the MIA comprised a control meta-regression using aggregate data on control response over time from randomised studies and a national myasthenia gravis (MG) registry. In Part 2, a combined Bayesian analysis of individual patient-level data from the phase II (NCT03315130), RAISE (NCT04115293) and RAISE-XT (NCT04225871) studies of zilucoplan was conducted using posterior distributions from Part 1 as informative priors. Population mean treatment effect in the change from baseline (CFB) at week 24 in MG-Activities of Daily Living (MG-ADL) and quantitative MG (QMG) scores for zilucoplan versus control were assessed.

RESULTS

At week 24, the predicted mean CFB in MG-ADL score was -4.55 (95% credible interval: -6.04, -3.13) with zilucoplan versus -2.00 (-3.35, -0.64) with control (difference: -2.55 [-3.76, -1.40]). The probability of a favourable treatment effect as measured by MG-ADL score at week 24 with zilucoplan versus control was >99.9%. There was an 82.8% probability that the difference in the predicted mean CFB in MG-ADL score at week 24 was greater than the clinically meaningful threshold (⩾2.0-point improvement). Comparable results were observed with QMG.

CONCLUSION

This MIA demonstrates the maintenance of efficacy with zilucoplan versus control up to 24 weeks. Through combining real-world evidence with data from randomised studies, this novel method to estimate long-term treatment efficacy facilitated reduced exposure to placebo in the phase III RAISE study. This methodology could be used to reduce the length of future placebo-controlled studies.