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野火源细颗粒物与巴西早产风险:一项全国基于人群的队列研究。

Wildfire-sourced fine particulate matter and preterm birth risks in Brazil: A nationwide population-based cohort study.

机构信息

Climate, Air Quality Research Unit, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.

Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

J Hazard Mater. 2024 Dec 5;480:136290. doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.136290. Epub 2024 Oct 24.

Abstract

Wildfire-specific particulate matter with diameters ≤ 2.5 µm (PM) is the key component of wildfire smoke, with potentially higher toxicity than PM from other sources. In this nationwide population-based cohort study, we included 22,163,195 births from Brazil during 20102019. Daily wildfire-specific PM was estimated through the chemical transport model. Time-varying Cox proportional hazards models were used to characterize the exposure-time-response (E-T-R) relationship between weekly wildfire-specific PM exposure and preterm birth (PTB) risks, followed by subgroup analyses. A 10 µg/m increment in wildfire-specific PM was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.047 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.032-1.063) for PTB. Stronger associations between wildfire-specific PM and PTB were observed during earlier pregnancy, among female infants, and pregnant women < 18 years old, in ethnic minorities, with a length of education ≥ 11 years, from low-income or high-temperature municipalities, and residing in North/Northeast regions. An estimated 1.47 % (95 % CI: 1.01 %1.94 %) of PTBs were attributable to wildfire-specific PM in Brazil, increasing from 2010 to 2019. The PTBs attributable to wildfire-specific PM surpassed those attributed to non-wildfire PM (0.31 %, 95 CI: 0.09 %0.57 %). Wildfire emerged as a critical source contributing to the PM-linked PTBs. Prioritized fire management and emission control strategies are warranted for PTB prevention.

摘要

野火特定颗粒物(PM)是野火烟雾的关键组成部分,其直径≤2.5μm,其毒性可能比来自其他来源的 PM 更高。在这项全国性基于人群的队列研究中,我们纳入了 2010 年至 2019 年巴西的 22163195 例出生记录。通过化学传输模型来估计每日野火特定 PM。采用时变 Cox 比例风险模型来描述每周野火特定 PM 暴露与早产(PTB)风险之间的暴露-时间-反应(E-T-R)关系,并进行亚组分析。野火特定 PM 每增加 10μg/m,PTB 的风险比(HR)为 1.047(95%置信区间[CI]:1.032-1.063)。在妊娠早期、女性婴儿、<18 岁的孕妇、少数民族、受教育程度≥11 年、来自低收入或高温城市以及居住在北部/东北部的孕妇中,野火特定 PM 与 PTB 之间的关联更强。估计有 1.47%(95%CI:1.01%-1.94%)的 PTB 归因于巴西的野火特定 PM,这一比例从 2010 年到 2019 年有所增加。归因于野火特定 PM 的 PTB 超过了归因于非野火 PM 的 PTB(0.31%,95%CI:0.09%-0.57%)。野火成为导致与 PM 相关的 PTB 的一个关键因素。需要优先采取火灾管理和排放控制策略,以预防 PTB。

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